Mls · resolved market
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x340d59f4875ba81bdd6b337039f37578b6a9fd0abb2e696735e633f75a3e5da5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland Timbersof Inter Miami CF, Portland Timbers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x912a…2e6abacked Portland Timbers | 65c | 26,328$17,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,249.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Inter Miami CF | 35c | 15,653$5,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,428.73 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Portland Timbers | 65c | 5,345$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Inter Miami CF | 37c | 2,835$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.23 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Portland Timbers | 40c | 2,278$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.54 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Inter Miami CF | 36c | 2,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Inter Miami CF | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Inter Miami CF | 35c | 1,600$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Inter Miami CF | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Portland Timbers | 40c | 915.18$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.44 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Portland Timbers | 64c | 859.67$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.16 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Inter Miami CF | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Inter Miami CF | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Inter Miami CF | 35c | 592$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.2 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Inter Miami CF | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Inter Miami CF | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Inter Miami CF | 35c | 460$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Portland Timbers | 41c | 402.27$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.64 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Inter Miami CF | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Inter Miami CF | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Portland Timbers | 11c | 391.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.58 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +512.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Inter Miami CF | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Inter Miami CF | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Inter Miami CF | 36c | 282.3$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.86 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Inter Miami CF | 35c | 260$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Inter Miami CF | 35c | 260$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Portland Timbers | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Portland Timbers | 42c | 224.82$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.51 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Inter Miami CF | 35c | 160$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Portland Timbers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Inter Miami CF | 36c | 157.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Inter Miami CF | 35c | 156$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Inter Miami CF | 35c | 156$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Inter Miami CF | 33c | 153.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Inter Miami CF | 37c | 149.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Inter Miami CF | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…03bdbacked Inter Miami CF | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Inter Miami CF | 37c | 114.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Inter Miami CF | 40c | 112.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Portland Timbers | 36c | 109$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.76 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Portland Timbers | 67c | 107.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Inter Miami CF | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Inter Miami CF | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Inter Miami CF | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…134fbacked Inter Miami CF | 35c | 85.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Portland Timbers | 40c | 83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf30…930fbacked Portland Timbers | 63c | 66.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Inter Miami CF | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Inter Miami CF | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Portland Timbers | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Inter Miami CF | 35c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Inter Miami CF | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Inter Miami CF | 36c | 46.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Inter Miami CF | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Inter Miami CF | 37c | 43.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…b1cebacked Portland Timbers | 65c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Inter Miami CF | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Inter Miami CF | 37c | 38.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Inter Miami CF | 38c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Inter Miami CF | 38c | 36.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Portland Timbers | 66c | 35.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Inter Miami CF | 48c | 35.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Portland Timbers | 41c | 32.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Portland Timbers | 66c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Portland Timbers | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Inter Miami CF | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Inter Miami CF | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked Inter Miami CF | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…b855backed Portland Timbers | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c3…4d56backed Portland Timbers | 63c | 24.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Portland Timbers | 60c | 23.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa31d…df8abacked Portland Timbers | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 2.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.