Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba3122db61c7e3d748079937ed561c22f04e59f0c5dacdb8e67b0e5154d21641
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked Under | 54c | 23,432$12,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,828.9 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 10,097$6,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,042.72 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Under | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Over | 47c | 9,241$4,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,305 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Over | 46c | 7,335$3,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,373.98 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Over | 46c | 7,278$3,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,347.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 58c | 2,717$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.89 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 46c | 2,396$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.16 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Over | 46c | 2,220$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 42c | 2,110$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.19 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 57c | 1,895$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 28c | 1,229$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.86 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 46c | 1,146$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 54c | 920.17$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 45c | 734.92$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 17c | 648.91$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.28 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 38c | 575.97$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.38 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Under | 64c | 396.82$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 28c | 356.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 38c | 255.16$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2fd7backed Over | 47c | 225.38$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 25c | 201.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 39c | 182.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 57c | 175.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…93ddbacked Under | 57c | 159.32$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 41c | 141.85$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 44c | 126$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 58c | 122.83$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 36c | 105$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 39c | 100.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 41c | 95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Over | 45c | 89.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 81.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 24c | 80.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 55c | 74.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…2e9fbacked Under | 54c | 71.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 61c | 71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 23c | 68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 54c | 66.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 59c | 65.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 46c | 60.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 60c | 59.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 57c | 58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Under | 57c | 52.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…6a81backed Over | 34c | 50.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 40c | 49.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Over | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…6516backed Over | 45c | 44.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 58c | 41.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7a…f619backed Under | 59c | 40.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…7d58backed Over | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 38.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Over | 45c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 61c | 36.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 61c | 35.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b5…8762backed Under | 59c | 32.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 65c | 30.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 61c | 27.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Under | 61c | 26.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +13.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…9659backed Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Over | 44c | 24.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 71c | 22.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 15.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 4.5this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 2.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Portland Timbers won
- Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.