TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,242
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,008

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,242 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under48c5,522$2,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,854.584551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.163056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over60c2,400$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.951926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-43.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under38c1,780$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.111,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under52c1,770$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under60c1,442$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.6319347.2%91 W · 102 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over47c1,333$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.446156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Under80c1,189$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.192157.1%12 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over62c1,144$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.2627837.8%105 W · 173 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5105042%21 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6206625.8%17 W · 49 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over24c832.98$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.216631.8%21 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under35c821.49$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.972133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over64c800$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.852166.7%14 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over63c797.8$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.9998945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over49c746.76$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.351,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under62c653.98$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.88862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under41c612.31$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.841,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under42c584.58$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.731,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over29c571.75$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5752639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under57c545.63$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.4624046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over56c535.2$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.924740.4%19 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over57c526.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.994862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c499.77$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.083,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under37c470.1$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.4635149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over28c448.47$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0882044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over50c372$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9616453%87 W · 77 L+20.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+40%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over62c322.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under59c319.31$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.411947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011244.6%50 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17111055.5%61 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over45c294$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1335337.7%20 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under46c284.43$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.2122042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c227.75$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5399340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under40c195.89$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.0118651.6%96 W · 90 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under38c193.89$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.1668150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over55c182.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Under52c162.76$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under38c161$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.821,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under33c160$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+67.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e16…4698backed Over66c136.36$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over64c123.4$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1929460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under38c119.65$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8447240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under43c112.14$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3780249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under40c107.51$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.580358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over60c106.43$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3536051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad9e…53c2backed Over63c91.94$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-56.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over58c86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.162343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over64c84.7$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.831158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed Over45c84.21$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6360%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b24…4247backed Over61c81.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over66c80$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.82634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Under62c76.01$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.821643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over43c76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.686149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under41c74.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4492346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Under43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.772737%10 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under34c68.52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3825851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under36c62.48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.998129.6%24 W · 57 L-10.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over64c62.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9973438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under42c61.85$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1123953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over59c60.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.981323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-46.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over47c59.57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2819645.9%90 W · 106 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over45c54.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8620849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Under37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.052951.7%15 W · 14 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+74.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336256.5%35 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258739.1%34 W · 53 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over66c48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.869965.7%65 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57c3…44b8backed Under42c47.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+139%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under34c46.87$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.946732.8%22 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a7f…0492backed Over50c41.94$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.97540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0079…b852backed Over54c40.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x604e…f1cdbacked Over66c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89d6…5cdfbacked Under35c38.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+154%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bcf…c678backed Over52c38.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.97933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-46.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x741c…d2edbacked Over41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under51c33.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2778344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over64c31.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202568%17 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Over58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.43351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over35c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4736247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x846b…71bdbacked Over66c28.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed Under38c26.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.447456.8%42 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Over53c26.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.91030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29fb…4930backed Under40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Under70c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.16475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Over66c22.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over53c21.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4916853.6%90 W · 78 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ad2…9401backed Over70c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.552065%13 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick74cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.