South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Riestra vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a68b97d376f50a2b00cb1c31d28c1e0118f5d80debf589e6151bfbc2421c4eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 6,923$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.98 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 46c | 2,600$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 2,001$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.42 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 65c | 372.42$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.94 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…eab0backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Over | 50c | 237.94$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.57 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac6…f11dbacked Under | 18c | 227$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 17c | 178.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 159.51$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 54c | 159.11$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.19 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…2c2cbacked Under | 30c | 101.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 45c | 78.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 50c | 67.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 44c | 67.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba4…26b5backed Under | 47c | 61.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…9132backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 46c | 33.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Under | 46c | 32.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Riestra vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Riestra vs. CA Boca Juniors: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Riestra vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Riestra vs. CA Boca Juniors: CD Riestra O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Riestra vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Riestra vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Riestra vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 4.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)CD Riestra won
- Spread: CD Riestra (-1.5)CD Riestra won
- Spread: CD Riestra (-2.5)CD Riestra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.