Asian League · resolved market
Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a674dc73b095743c921c801a40a36dd88235e6640f8ed3fb0762a68f774915b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 8,525$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,824.25 | 1,537 | 35.1%540 W · 997 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e5…9105backed No | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 57c | 1,619$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.89 | 1,266 | 50.2%635 W · 631 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 57c | 1,118$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.95 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 37c | 1,100$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.74 | 289 | 32.9%95 W · 194 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 55c | 1,035$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 57c | 920.91$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.1 | 773 | 42.6%329 W · 444 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 61c | 790.83$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.83 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 56c | 750$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.57 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 731.56$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.15 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 46c | 576.94$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.55 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 57c | 563.92$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.44 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 55c | 305.84$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.21 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 56c | 300$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 429 | 50.8%218 W · 211 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 270.88$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.97 | 2,036 | 54.2%1,104 W · 932 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 44c | 229.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.67 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.28per pick | 51cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked No | 58c | 134.48$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 46c | 125.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.81 | 418 | 50.5%211 W · 207 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 57c | 121.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 45c | 116.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 42c | 109.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,818 | 50.4%917 W · 901 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked No | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 52c | 98.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 1,116 | 41.6%464 W · 652 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 45c | 87.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 244 | 59.8%146 W · 98 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 66c | 68.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 375 | 52%195 W · 180 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed No | 66c | 66.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 64c | 65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 63c | 52.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 961 | 35.3%339 W · 622 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 62c | 51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 744 | 44.1%328 W · 416 L | -31.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce3…c36cbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 43c | 43.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 618 | 42.6%263 W · 355 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba4…26b5backed Yes | 45c | 42.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 59c | 41.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 344 | 55.2%190 W · 154 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 44c | 40.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 785 | 55.7%437 W · 348 L | +38.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 34c | 35.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 227 | 53.7%122 W · 105 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 58c | 35.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 333 | 60.7%202 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Yes | 42c | 35.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…809cbacked No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…feccbacked Yes | 46c | 22.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed No | 57c | 18.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Incheon United FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 0.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 3.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5)Incheon United FC won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-2.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.