Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf084be0364495d6c8c91a97f49bd400af0bccc4fa2e64db4211ce2cb4750e7fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucheon FC 1995of Incheon United FC, Bucheon FC 1995
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed Incheon United FC | 32c | 9,333$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…2004backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 68c | 7,500$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 68c | 3,167$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.73 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Incheon United FC | 31c | 3,017$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.42 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Incheon United FC | 31c | 2,888$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 68c | 1,328$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.81 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 70c | 500$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.03 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 69c | 403.51$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.09 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 74c | 384.62$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 71c | 341.58$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.63 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Incheon United FC | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 69c | 257.37$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 70c | 240$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Incheon United FC | 31c | 200.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Incheon United FC | 29c | 131.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 69c | 122.19$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 236 | 60.2%142 W · 94 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 68c | 119.62$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 70c | 107.18$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Incheon United FC | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 68c | 106$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Incheon United FC | 30c | 86.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 69c | 76.34$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Bucheon FC 1995 | 69c | 70.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 66c | 47.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Incheon United FC | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 69c | 35.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 69c | 29.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 73c | 20.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Bucheon FC 1995 | 69c | 16.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)this page
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Incheon United FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 0.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 3.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5)Incheon United FC won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-2.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.