Asian League · resolved market
Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd3d626e101771ab55d0c9cc19d1d2744e3e4cfafe458bcd9933586ba5732f73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a39…b0b9backed Over | 40c | 7,637$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 2,483$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.18 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 52c | 1,402$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.34 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 56c | 1,080$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.03 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 44c | 911.36$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 58c | 635.72$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.88 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 60c | 503.22$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.16 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed Under | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 60c | 471.68$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.67 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 432.51$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.47 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…a9dabacked Over | 47c | 429.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 393.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.24 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 44c | 346.23$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.43 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under | 58c | 301.72$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 42c | 286.11$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.17 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Over | 40c | 251.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 229.49$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.06 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 57c | 199.52$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 59c | 195.06$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.89 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 54c | 190.07$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.43 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 46c | 172.67$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.43 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 58c | 154.11$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 48c | 138.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 52c | 116$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 45c | 108.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 43c | 102.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 59c | 99.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 58c | 86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 68c | 78.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 64c | 78.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 60c | 73.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…dceabacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Over | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 55c | 46.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 55c | 43.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 58c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1e…3b56backed Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 56c | 37.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 45c | 25.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…1586backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 60c | 23.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 57c | 22.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Under | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…2fbabacked Under | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 76c | 18.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 64c | 17.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 64c | 15.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5this page
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Incheon United FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 0.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 3.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5)Incheon United FC won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-2.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.