Asian League · resolved market
Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cc72288b7c7b239c56169d9c2292e3af79e312b19b43e1c3dcac08fc61275b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 71c | 2,727$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 51c | 1,073$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.93 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 1,022$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.89 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 61c | 1,000$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.69 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 32c | 800$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 31c | 757.77$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.83 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Over | 67c | 748.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.75 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 54c | 599.95$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.98 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 48c | 548.25$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.43 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Over | 66c | 531.88$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.97 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 36c | 486.71$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.56 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 38c | 452.52$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.09 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 30c | 349.71$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.66 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 30c | 317.61$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 32c | 285.14$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 284.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under | 31c | 280.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 41c | 260.83$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.58 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 49c | 240.78$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.09 | 359 | 47.4%170 W · 189 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Under | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 58c | 182.18$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.91 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 31c | 155.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 58c | 144.12$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 60c | 128.88$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 46c | 115.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 46c | 110.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Under | 37c | 108.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…2857backed Under | 19c | 106$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Under | 41c | 102.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 72c | 73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 60c | 71.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 60c | 64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 39c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 47c | 46.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 42c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 450 | 52.2%235 W · 215 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 31c | 38.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 30c | 37.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 320 | 60%192 W · 128 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 30c | 37.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 36c | 36.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 61c | 32.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 74c | 25.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 226 | 53.5%121 W · 105 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 55c | 19.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 565 | 45.5%257 W · 308 L | -24.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0255…4eb0backed Over | 64c | 16.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5this page
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Incheon United FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 0.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 3.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5)Incheon United FC won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-2.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.