Asian League · resolved market
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca6e066647c25834bc6fbb2b2411ed530ac09d23ab53bc616d060794d6353665
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 54c | 970.93$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.11 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked No | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6da…5ccfbacked Yes | 39c | 540.66$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 467.37$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.74 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 46c | 380.43$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.43 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed No | 55c | 373.93$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 271.37$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.83 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 62c | 169.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.23 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 58c | 157.84$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.12 | 375 | 52%195 W · 180 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 62c | 111.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.83 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -52%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a61…3c05backed Yes | 47c | 106.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 46c | 106.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 54c | 85.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Yes | 46c | 82.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 47c | 80.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 61c | 59.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f53…5e9fbacked No | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd1…73a1backed Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 46c | 51.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 762 | 39.2%299 W · 463 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 450 | 52.2%235 W · 215 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Yes | 46c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba4…26b5backed Yes | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 66 | 92.4%61 W · 5 L | +17.8wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: Bucheon FC 1995 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 0.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 2.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: FC Seoul 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: FC Seoul O/U 0.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: FC Seoul O/U 1.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 0.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.