Asian League · resolved market
Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x056208168b2369445f65af7fcad71c373b00bc3e9d55a5bd2a86ae78c27b2713
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Seoulof FC Seoul, Bucheon FC 1995
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Seoul | 30c | 4,281$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,985.24 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Bucheon FC 1995 | 70c | 2,825$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.52 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 69c | 2,500$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.5 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed FC Seoul | 32c | 1,702$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.06 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Seoul | 30c | 1,453$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.67 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed FC Seoul | 30c | 1,210$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.95 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 68c | 980.39$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.66 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3a42backed FC Seoul | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 71c | 748.28$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.28 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked FC Seoul | 29c | 740.7$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.53 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 67c | 722.87$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.84 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 71c | 714$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.84 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Bucheon FC 1995 | 70c | 713.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 70c | 705.34$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.74 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FC Seoul | 43c | 651.15$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.42 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed FC Seoul | 31c | 650.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.32 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed FC Seoul | 78c | 328.94$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Bucheon FC 1995 | 68c | 318.82$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.8 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 16c | 317.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Bucheon FC 1995 | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Bucheon FC 1995 | 68c | 285.89$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bucheon FC 1995 | 21c | 265$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 49c | 231$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.19 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Bucheon FC 1995 | 68c | 220.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 13c | 176.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked FC Seoul | 51c | 154.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.11 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked FC Seoul | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Bucheon FC 1995 | 69c | 149.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…306dbacked Bucheon FC 1995 | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Bucheon FC 1995 | 70c | 140$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Bucheon FC 1995 | 12c | 138$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 14c | 135$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 31c | 134.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 48c | 97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed FC Seoul | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 70c | 70.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbef…848cbacked FC Seoul | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked FC Seoul | 47c | 64.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed FC Seoul | 30c | 59.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…f040backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 18c | 56.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 72c | 51.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 68cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Bucheon FC 1995 | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 68c | 49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 70c | 46.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FC Seoul | 52c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Bucheon FC 1995 | 52c | 42.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 58c | 40.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked FC Seoul | 60c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…02c0backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 70c | 28.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 53c | 25.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…203abacked FC Seoul | 62c | 24.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 68c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 71c | 16.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…1d15backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 68c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)this page
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: Bucheon FC 1995 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 0.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 2.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: FC Seoul 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: FC Seoul O/U 0.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: FC Seoul O/U 1.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 0.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.