Asian League · resolved market
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3f90e7bd251b011b19bd5e0eb80c23c7df2e22cbdf6051995d1a20388f90065
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 71c | 12,169$8,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,498.59 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 29c | 2,878$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.83 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 31c | 2,493$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.9 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 29c | 2,164$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.7 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 29c | 1,541$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.82 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 1,073$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.46 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 28c | 1,031$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.72 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 28c | 891.41$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.61 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 61c | 737.09$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.44 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 67c | 602$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.62 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 75c | 475.85$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.96 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 25c | 396.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 70c | 342.31$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.42 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 25c | 274.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 32c | 267.66$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.67 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…7f05backed Over | 60c | 206.97$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.34 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 32c | 205.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 37c | 203.93$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 8c | 203.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 29c | 201.48$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 76c | 194.74$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 42c | 182.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Under | 6c | 174.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 3cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 166$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…244dbacked Over | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 67cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 44c | 115.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 48c | 107.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 65c | 103.96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 64 | 79.7%51 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 44c | 97.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 47c | 92.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 71c | 69.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 28c | 69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 56c | 67.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 25c | 67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 30c | 66.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 71c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 58.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…2ca2backed Over | 76c | 57.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 70c | 50.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -7.7wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…8e63backed Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 47c | 48.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 48c | 41.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 26c | 41.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…614abacked Over | 56c | 35.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6da…5ccfbacked Over | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 67c | 27.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 68c | 19.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 76c | 19.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 56c | 18.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…1d15backed Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5this page
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: Bucheon FC 1995 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 0.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 2.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: FC Seoul 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: FC Seoul O/U 0.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: FC Seoul O/U 1.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 0.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.