Asian League · resolved market

Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc6eebe5273135033f67a1692f061ea089b789dcb9d6b13ee284dcfe4785a3c9

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $26,352
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $34,807

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,352 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Asian League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5277…b271backed Over	24c	3,181$763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,417.56	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.28per pick	22cpaid	+65.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over	64c	2,330$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$829.64	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+5.0wins	+0.21per pick	42cpaid	+70.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	76c	1,993$1,515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,514.72	1,725	50.6%873 W · 852 L	+28.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under	57c	1,703$977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$976.57	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f39…311abacked Over	47c	1,593$744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$848.68	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+80%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Under	65c	1,535$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-3.4wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	58c	1,048$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610.99	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	71c	927.39$659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.5	693	52.2%362 W · 331 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over	43c	831.51$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$471.51	66	92.4%61 W · 5 L	+17.8wins	+0.27per pick	65cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	76c	812.85$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$617.77	1,110	49.5%549 W · 561 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	46c	755.24$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.76	828	42.4%351 W · 477 L	+19.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over	42c	715.02$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.02	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.28per pick	47cpaid	+54.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	42c	580.8$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.18	2,424	38%920 W · 1,504 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked Over	52c	576.92$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.92	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+3.5wins	+0.27per pick	50cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	33c	513$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.67	270	37%100 W · 170 L	-12.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Under	73c	500$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.57	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.5wins	-0.35per pick	50cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under	76c	394$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.44	294	32%94 W · 200 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42fc…a43cbacked Under	63c	299.99$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.99	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over	40c	295.57$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.65	396	55.8%221 W · 175 L	+31.2wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	77c	247.6$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.59	2,491	40%997 W · 1,494 L	-18.8wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	62c	222.14$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.48	928	35%325 W · 603 L	-22.9wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	22c	220.57$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.14	5,946	46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L	+50.5wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c6…e1e7backed Over	24c	208.33$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.33	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.35per pick	32cpaid	+103%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	46c	180.56$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.76	1,309	56.8%743 W · 566 L	+66.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	61c	163.93$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.93	334	52.7%176 W · 158 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under	78c	156.41$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Over	64c	156.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.33	27	63%17 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over	23c	152.64$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.54	100	39%39 W · 61 L	-8.6wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-18%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under	58c	143.44$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.14	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	78c	143.23$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.72	101	58.4%59 W · 42 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over	47c	141.36$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.3	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x65fa…4c6abacked Under	77c	129.87$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	49c	110.42$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.45	585	42.7%250 W · 335 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe011…159fbacked Over	23c	108.7$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.7	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over	23c	108.7$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.7	95	16.8%16 W · 79 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under	52c	101.92$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over	39c	100$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61	47	68.1%32 W · 15 L	+10.5wins	+0.22per pick	46cpaid	+56.1%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed Over	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	47c	83.98$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.34	1,063	42%446 W · 617 L	-12.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	61c	80.31$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.29	130	48.5%63 W · 67 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over	64c	78.33$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.33	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b34…2081backed Over	64c	78.2$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.2	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	59cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Over	58c	77.59$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.59	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Over	58c	74.14$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.14	58	44.8%26 W · 32 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+22%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	23c	72.79$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.14	1,970	54.4%1,071 W · 899 L	+32.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	71c	70.9$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.22	363	52.9%192 W · 171 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	77c	70.01$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.56	539	46.9%253 W · 286 L	-14.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Under	76c	65$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.4	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	65cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7aa…2b84backed Over	62c	59.63$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.59	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	70cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce8b…738abacked Over	60c	58.63$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.45	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b6…886ebacked Under	70c	57.14$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.70per pick	70cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	47c	56.39$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.23	721	44.1%318 W · 403 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under	62c	50.63$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.49	564	45.4%256 W · 308 L	-25.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over	43c	50$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.7	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.16per pick	46cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	38c	49$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.62	1,356	45.5%617 W · 739 L	+15.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe131…a83fbacked Under	42c	45.98$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.31	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over	66c	45.42$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.42	213	67.6%144 W · 69 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	68cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	57c	45$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.44	1,028	41.7%429 W · 599 L	-31.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over	29c	41.93$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.93	91	46.2%42 W · 49 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under	51c	40.81$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.02	119	52.9%63 W · 56 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eaf…1f76backed Under	75c	40.17$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under	46c	39.48$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.04	88	6.8%6 W · 82 L	-22.0wins	-0.25per pick	32cpaid	-78%equal weight	28-0.19 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	76c	38$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.88	405	50.6%205 W · 200 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under	66c	30.27$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.87	60	41.7%25 W · 35 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over	38c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.72	123	46.3%57 W · 66 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	78c	29$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.24	361	42.4%153 W · 208 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over	42c	28.57$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.57	257	42%108 W · 149 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Over	58c	26.89$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.32	42	50%21 W · 21 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf958…31b3backed Under	78c	25.64$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	51c	20.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.76	441	52.4%231 W · 210 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over	61c	20.82$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.13	62	37.1%23 W · 39 L	-5.5wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under	55c	20.61$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	263	48.7%128 W · 135 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6469…b890backed Under	79c	17.72$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	75cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5this page
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: Bucheon FC 1995 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 0.5Over won
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 2.5Under won
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: FC Seoul 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: FC Seoul O/U 0.5Over won
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: FC Seoul O/U 1.5Over won
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 0.5Over won
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5Over won
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5Over won
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 4.5Under won
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5)FC Seoul won
Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)FC Seoul won
Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event