TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$283,031
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$291,221

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,031 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Over48c202,922$98,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98,390.9718352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Under52c80,800$42,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,7264858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under51c36,613$18,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,929.242962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb22…6478backed Over48c22,154$10,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,551.9629446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c16,564$9,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,088.478,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Under52c16,246$8,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,822.443167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under51c15,663$8,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,654.910741.1%44 W · 63 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under51c12,087$6,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,913.171,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under52c10,795$5,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,173.653,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over31c5,226$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.811338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under65c4,640$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.3711055.5%61 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c4,100$2,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.971,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over48c3,885$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.71,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under51c3,200$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56824855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over31c2,852$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.1230048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over46c2,589$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.061553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under52c2,423$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.082544%11 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under52c2,330$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.143,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under52c2,075$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.4123549.4%116 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under51c1,820$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.822457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over34c1,802$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.1457540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c1,657$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.065,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4508343.4%36 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under52c1,400$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67223057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under51c1,400$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68616558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over47c1,300$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.9120046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58824053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under52c1,154$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.851145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under51c1,124$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.5616653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49019559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4706056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under52c998.52$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.2933560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under52c983.02$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.3215247.4%72 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under51c980$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.230754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under52c949.08$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.4811551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under51c900$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4384850%24 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under51c900$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4384452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under51c900$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4384254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under51c882.35$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.353240.6%13 W · 19 L-5.3wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39228851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39223056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under51c756.27$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.858955.1%49 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under52c640.83$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.278756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29424956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29418358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Under52c599.64$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.9510450%52 W · 52 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over43c570.91$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.132,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x425b…dbfdbacked Over49c541.1$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.148133.3%27 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under51c520$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.816559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under51c520$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.815857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under51c510$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.91,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under52c447.19$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.3625866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under60c418$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.161,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Under51c413.73$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.731758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.625554.5%30 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under50c352.35$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1812757.5%73 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over48c322.08$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.629245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under51c320$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.821358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under51c312$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.8821657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under51c312$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.8820360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Under51c300.52$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.253850%19 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9948922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Under51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1473652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over27c299.49$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2314824.3%36 W · 112 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Over34c289.68$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.266230.6%19 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over34c287$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5882434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under51c280$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.222058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under52c257.94$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.8133266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed Over43c257.13$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.57520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-51.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under51c242$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.432,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over49c229.57$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.351,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa410…f61fbacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Under56c208.36$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.973756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under59c203.27$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.732,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964025%10 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-42.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9624257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9815560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9818959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under51c198$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.192,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Under52c192.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over43c174.86$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5319155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under51c162$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3822853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under51c160$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.415359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over17c148.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258720.7%18 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x700b…8d0bbacked Under57c140.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.49475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over34c133.22$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.292560%15 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under52c130.65$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.867761%47 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Under52c129.81$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.466159%36 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Under52c124.13$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6312945%58 W · 71 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Under55c109.25$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.451758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Under51c101.96$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.962441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1d3…f1abbacked Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6021…4c5cbacked Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+42.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.156056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.155556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under52c96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1517255.2%95 W · 77 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed Under52c96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.085100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ae4…e4a2backed Under52c95.02$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.762572%18 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5ac…e602backed Under52c95.02$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.761258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.