South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf26a0aa8a5cab4614006dcc26beeeedbe92d80891c38723058d532189d28b686
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 1,439$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.89 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 52c | 583.91$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.96 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 46c | 472.26$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.24 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 260$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Yes | 53c | 188.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49cc…16e3backed Yes | 53c | 184.72$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 159$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.29 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 48c | 137.35$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.42 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…4c5cbacked No | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 42c | 112.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 47c | 109.79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 47c | 93.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 48c | 83.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 72.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 63c | 70.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 62.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed No | 38c | 39.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 47c | 32.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Yes | 62c | 31.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff9…ec5dbacked Yes | 53c | 31.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Yes | 62c | 24.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f3…fbd3backed No | 49c | 21.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6618…3733backed Yes | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4979…a668backed Yes | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed Yes | 62c | 17.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 4.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)CA Mineiro won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.