South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3066eb12516ed3a8aefc30525e83001fd5d49382d3f091be98b5bbf1a58c9c84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Mineiroof CR Vasco da Gama, CA Mineiro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed CR Vasco da Gama | 24c | 6,666$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 29cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CA Mineiro | 78c | 5,048$3,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.51 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CA Mineiro | 76c | 3,500$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.03 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed CR Vasco da Gama | 23c | 3,249$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.05 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed CA Mineiro | 76c | 1,488$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.57 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed CA Mineiro | 76c | 1,200$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.75 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed CR Vasco da Gama | 18c | 1,199$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.01 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed CR Vasco da Gama | 23c | 986.96$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.29 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 24c | 928.2$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.77 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed CA Mineiro | 77c | 863.5$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.63 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked CA Mineiro | 76c | 501$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.24 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked CA Mineiro | 77c | 251.52$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 23c | 220.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked CA Mineiro | 77c | 177.21$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 24c | 171$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed CA Mineiro | 76c | 115.19$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed CA Mineiro | 78c | 89.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CA Mineiro | 78c | 83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49cc…16e3backed CR Vasco da Gama | 25c | 76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked CA Mineiro | 76c | 69.23$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed CA Mineiro | 76c | 65.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CA Mineiro | 77c | 49.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed CA Mineiro | 76c | 46.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed CA Mineiro | 78c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked CA Mineiro | 76c | 34.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed CA Mineiro | 76c | 22.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)this page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 4.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.