World Politics · resolved market
Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x130449ae748ecf778368b976b759ec96bf4fd86c88732fe3a488d05819ef81b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,389$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6071…e933backed Yes | 9c | 2,294$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.43 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 74c | 1,124$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.78 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…3a0abacked Yes | 59c | 1,121$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb9…f7e7backed Yes | 64c | 1,051$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 75cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 14c | 983.07$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.39 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked Yes | 12c | 828.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 44c | 501.85$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.04 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +7.0wins | +0.33per pick | 43cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2db7…8f9bbacked No | 40c | 483.85$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…114dbacked Yes | 52c | 454.96$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 8c | 424.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 72 | 16.7%12 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…8efebacked Yes | 69c | 391.52$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -63%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5894…a3d4backed No | 68c | 319.54$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc1…c1e8backed Yes | 76c | 292$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…2a61backed No | 35c | 288.16$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +184.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…06a2backed No | 32c | 264.64$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a43…5e26backed No | 59c | 257.26$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95a…c966backed No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ef…e3c0backed No | 48c | 229.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…b529backed Yes | 79c | 223.36$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.41 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 46c | 212.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fde…b663backed No | 48c | 209.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 17c | 179.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.43 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c00…0372backed Yes | 57c | 169.55$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes | 29c | 145.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +18.2wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d0…6d36backed Yes | 74c | 134.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…a7b0backed No | 50c | 126.06$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ab…728dbacked No | 34c | 119.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…5944backed No | 41c | 118.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…e77dbacked No | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41fb…b6b0backed No | 46c | 107.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…39cebacked No | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…5db9backed No | 36c | 103.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…051dbacked No | 53c | 102.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…705cbacked No | 49c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked Yes | 57c | 93.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e30…49aebacked Yes | 42c | 93.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…eba4backed No | 56c | 89.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…5840backed No | 57c | 84.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1be…dcbbbacked Yes | 54c | 79.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71c…6c74backed Yes | 60c | 75.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa255…2ffcbacked No | 61c | 67.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…029abacked No | 64c | 62.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e30…d312backed No | 49c | 61.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 33c | 60.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…4d01backed No | 71c | 60.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…19a3backed No | 48c | 60.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…679ebacked Yes | 51c | 58.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed No | 36c | 55.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cae…d9a1backed No | 62c | 55.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63bb…d9edbacked Yes | 71c | 54.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 49c | 53.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 150 | 22.7%34 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x592d…c13bbacked No | 51c | 53.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3adb…e19cbacked No | 61c | 53.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…8721backed Yes | 47c | 52.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8be…0832backed No | 46c | 51.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…cf90backed No | 39c | 51.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b8…4164backed No | 63c | 51.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 30c | 50.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77d…2f85backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f0…688dbacked No | 48c | 48.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…2a2fbacked Yes | 60c | 48.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66dc…425abacked Yes | 62c | 46.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…3e8fbacked No | 57c | 43.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 44c | 42.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4252…5db1backed Yes | 61c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5370…0e83backed Yes | 50c | 40.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…d823backed No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 30c | 39.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…e7bfbacked No | 53c | 38.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a4…4c8cbacked No | 54c | 36.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b29…b0a1backed Yes | 57c | 34.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…feb3backed No | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cca…12e1backed Yes | 63c | 31.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe26…6e0abacked No | 57c | 31.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 49c | 31.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd831…41d0backed No | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…16d2backed No | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…0768backed Yes | 63c | 30.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba4…26b5backed Yes | 64c | 30.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648e…c7dbbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…703dbacked No | 36c | 29.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f9…870bbacked No | 68c | 28.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…f896backed Yes | 53c | 27.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…00f3backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d2…d94cbacked No | 69c | 24.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde47…0e75backed No | 53c | 24.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328b…fa07backed No | 52c | 22.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba9…7450backed No | 49c | 20.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff7…6726backed Yes | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…b1d1backed No | 58c | 18.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.