TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa255…2ffc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 60 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT3548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+268%+$40.2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$40.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$35.26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.1%+$80.08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+94.1%+$15.06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.64
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.62
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+122.9%+$33.18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$33.09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$100.13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+81.4%+$103.99
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$15.91
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$8.46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$16.27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$28.74
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$28.3
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+47%+$15.04
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$10.59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$19.2
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.38
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$21.37
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$41.03
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$6.31
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.19
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+165.5%+$54.63
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.06
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$16.77
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+96.8%+$25.93
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+59%+$6.49
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$5.25
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+111.9%+$11.81
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.91
Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$11.58
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$7.82
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+89%+$9.79
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$17.27
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.67
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$6.62
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.05
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+43.4%+$8.67
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+59.5%+$16.06
All 20 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.1
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$26.3
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$11.57
Will Partido Popular win 36-39 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.81
Will Partido Popular win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+91%+$96.86
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+599%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+599%+$95.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.