Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e38a43824b8a2b278438482501d6fab99bd7db813a35a8d642751997bccd030
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83a3…4d2bbacked Yes | 49c | 902.42$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.61 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6f…a8e4backed Yes | 43c | 652.17$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 60c | 525.95$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.03 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…047dbacked Yes | 45c | 524.79$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.59 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 16c | 517.54$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 60c | 476.07$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.19 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed No | 62c | 380.96$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.17 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…8daabacked No | 78c | 376.57$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 31c | 363.78$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.62 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 18c | 361.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 30c | 338.17$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 66c | 268.54$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 53c | 220.29$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.93 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 34c | 219.48$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…5d78backed Yes | 34c | 200.81$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 30c | 189.77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 30c | 153.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 12c | 142.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 16c | 134.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 25c | 127.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 39c | 126.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 54c | 120.21$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…e7a0backed No | 55c | 113.17$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 389 | 61.7%240 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…aff0backed No | 46c | 108$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 28c | 99.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 46c | 99.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 33c | 97.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…09b5backed No | 20c | 95.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.73 | 288 | 39.9%115 W · 173 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked No | 73c | 92.46$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…5a2bbacked No | 69c | 89.15$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 33c | 88.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 78c | 87.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 74c | 87.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 22c | 86.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…839abacked Yes | 30c | 80.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 281 | 19.9%56 W · 225 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 28c | 76.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3887…9496backed No | 66c | 75.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 243 | 70%170 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 39c | 74.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 35c | 70.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked Yes | 33c | 69.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…b156backed Yes | 35c | 66.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…7379backed Yes | 30c | 63.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 456 | 19.1%87 W · 369 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed No | 68c | 59.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 70c | 59.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa565…615abacked Yes | 36c | 58.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 78c | 57.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 66c | 54.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 45c | 53.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…087fbacked No | 57c | 52.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 441 | 47.4%209 W · 232 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes | 29c | 51.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 31c | 50.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 27c | 49.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…3961backed Yes | 27c | 49.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 28c | 49.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 58c | 49.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb060…9572backed Yes | 43c | 49.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 36c | 48.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…9d2ebacked No | 59c | 48.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…0c43backed Yes | 27c | 48.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 45c | 47.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 26c | 47.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed No | 48c | 46.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 42c | 43.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…35c4backed No | 67c | 43.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…20f9backed No | 47c | 41.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 340 | 57.1%194 W · 146 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 31c | 40.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…c61bbacked No | 76c | 40.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cd…aecdbacked No | 49c | 38.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…d11fbacked Yes | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1acb…1e38backed No | 59c | 36.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e4…416fbacked No | 66c | 36.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed Yes | 34c | 36.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e6…762ebacked Yes | 51c | 35.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…c039backed Yes | 36c | 35.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 31c | 34.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 70c | 34.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 68c | 32.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…d923backed Yes | 39c | 32.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed No | 76c | 32.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 151 | 55.6%84 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 73c | 32.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 74c | 31.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…c7f7backed Yes | 40c | 31.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x069e…4636backed No | 70c | 30.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed No | 58c | 30.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…6651backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa255…2ffcbacked Yes | 41c | 26.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1937…ac3ebacked No | 72c | 25.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a99…1838backed No | 78c | 25.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 97 | 70.1%68 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 60c | 21.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…9095backed No | 67c | 21.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 173 | 76.3%132 W · 41 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…2ea5backed No | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40fb…b7afbacked No | 70c | 20.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd611…53c8backed No | 71c | 20.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 72 | 77.8%56 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe45…fd22backed No | 65c | 20.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 75°F or below on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 14?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on April 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.