Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c411142e06e4bf3f4f1136eeaa3e5479fcd1167c9aaaf286112e24d156e3ab2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 41c | 802.68$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.28 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked No | 50c | 675.73$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.39 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 46c | 452.6$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 47c | 350.35$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.04 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 51c | 342.43$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.48 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 48c | 294.73$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.44 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 37c | 219.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.21 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa502…4c89backed Yes | 71c | 219.54$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 27c | 202.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f55…92c3backed Yes | 43c | 188.43$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.19 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 74c | 182.8$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 10c | 136.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 39c | 130.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked Yes | 40c | 112.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked Yes | 49c | 110.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 35c | 108.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.82 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 18c | 107.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 33c | 101.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…09b5backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 39.9%115 W · 173 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 48c | 98.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 39c | 95.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed No | 50c | 87.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…e1b0backed Yes | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 62c | 75.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 61c | 70.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec4f…9b0cbacked Yes | 57c | 70.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 59c | 70.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 36c | 67.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…8dc7backed Yes | 35c | 67.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 133 | 22.6%30 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 73c | 66.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…66f8backed No | 39c | 63.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb060…9572backed Yes | 34c | 60.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 67c | 57.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef3…ac46backed Yes | 52c | 56.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013a…e374backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…7825backed No | 39c | 54.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc457…1675backed No | 51c | 51.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c13…31a3backed Yes | 51c | 48.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 37c | 47.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 62c | 46.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 45.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked No | 54c | 43.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 68c | 43.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069e…4636backed No | 44c | 43.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…928fbacked No | 50c | 39.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…5527backed Yes | 75c | 39.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 300 | 46.7%140 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed No | 63c | 39.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 47c | 39.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…7080backed No | 60c | 37.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4215backed Yes | 52c | 35.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1df…3d5dbacked Yes | 52c | 35.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked Yes | 61c | 34.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed No | 53c | 34.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 47c | 33.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…e457backed No | 51c | 33.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…ffd5backed Yes | 44c | 32.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…875bbacked No | 64c | 31.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 67c | 31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 56c | 30.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90b7…148cbacked Yes | 49c | 29.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 53c | 28.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…f004backed Yes | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70f…4306backed No | 67c | 27.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 49c | 25.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…b6aabacked No | 53c | 25.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddfa…014fbacked Yes | 43c | 24.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 49c | 24.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 63c | 23.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69a…90f7backed Yes | 43c | 23.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c1…d8a6backed No | 65c | 23.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 51c | 23.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 55c | 22.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 49c | 22.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 65c | 22.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…2ea5backed No | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ea…998bbacked No | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1937…ac3ebacked No | 67c | 18.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 73c | 17.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a62…ace3backed No | 66c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 75°F or below on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on April 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.