World Politics · resolved market
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37eb55675e56c5afeb79224da9972c67dc4597fd749bb93db6f4e9f167258d04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac0…55f3backed Yes | 39c | 12,824$5,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,034.43 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 79c | 10,207$8,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.06 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae7…561fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,042$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…822abacked Yes | 56c | 4,530$2,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556.78 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 55c | 4,081$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.61 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 70c | 3,414$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.37 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 22c | 2,975$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.61 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +8.3wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed No | 63c | 2,784$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.03 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 50c | 2,505$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.15 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 67c | 2,300$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 52c | 2,300$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.12 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b51…ad13backed Yes | 52c | 1,930$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,850$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 50c | 1,804$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.99 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 52c | 1,690$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.35 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 33c | 1,600$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 61c | 1,446$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.46 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…6621backed Yes | 46c | 1,051$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +180.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 54c | 936.65$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.14 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf9…9b13backed Yes | 20c | 920$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…d819backed No | 80c | 905.26$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 60c | 873.68$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.6 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 43c | 834.96$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.8 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0414…be21backed Yes | 27c | 819.52$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.87 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 43c | 800$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 30c | 799.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 50c | 761.85$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.29 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 57c | 688.08$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.1 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…c773backed Yes | 24c | 671.62$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe899…0899backed No | 48c | 654.32$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97af…9bc6backed No | 68c | 654$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 34c | 640.77$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.67 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6575…b198backed Yes | 19c | 606.64$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ac…7f76backed Yes | 47c | 599.99$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…9292backed Yes | 53c | 591.34$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d9…bc47backed Yes | 26c | 573.8$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 59c | 565.06$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.78 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f0fbbacked Yes | 33c | 533.94$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +181.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed No | 65c | 521$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…8efdbacked Yes | 21c | 504.49$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe27…52b7backed Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97d…b68cbacked No | 62c | 491.58$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 79c | 489.67$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1727…680ebacked No | 57c | 489$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 43c | 480$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.2 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde88…144cbacked Yes | 21c | 472.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 36c | 459$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.24 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 57c | 453.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.14 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 43c | 411.41$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.87 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked No | 79c | 400$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…f250backed No | 70c | 399.97$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 47c | 383.13$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.07 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 69c | 377.09$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.15 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 75c | 375.08$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 62c | 345.51$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.57 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked No | 64c | 334.04$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.21 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3673backed Yes | 40c | 330.12$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.28 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…d6a2backed Yes | 3c | 315.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 78c | 315.26$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.48 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 77c | 312.07$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.44 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 56c | 290$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.3 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9032…b5c3backed Yes | 21c | 270$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 21c | 260$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked No | 57c | 256$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed No | 44c | 252.88$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.66 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…8cbebacked Yes | 22c | 250$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 51c | 234.26$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.37 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 54c | 229.47$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.65 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Yes | 45c | 226$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 61c | 224.04$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.74 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 66c | 220$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x929a…5ab4backed Yes | 23c | 212.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed No | 49c | 202.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.21 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 67c | 200$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 47c | 197.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 65c | 195$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…a7b3backed Yes | 28c | 189.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Yes | 46c | 185.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.85 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 66c | 180$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 66c | 180$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 74c | 163$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed Yes | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 53c | 157.68$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.11 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…7d80backed Yes | 20c | 146.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f51…d389backed No | 58c | 139.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed No | 64c | 139.04$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2564…f258backed Yes | 39c | 139.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc91e…07ddbacked No | 72c | 138.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed Yes | 44c | 137.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed Yes | 40c | 133.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?this page
- Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes won
- Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No won
- Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No won
- Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.