World Politics · resolved market
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57386fa65bb2d5264e28c20dc9ee89240d5f30f7615c6010ff6eb22a3c50e1e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb741…a996backed Yes | 10c | 30,289$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…6621backed Yes | 12c | 27,800$3,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,243.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +180.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac0…55f3backed Yes | 35c | 16,745$5,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,818 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 77c | 13,213$10,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.17 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…b608backed Yes | 19c | 6,426$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 61c | 5,313$3,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.5 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 11c | 3,515$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.88 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed Yes | 32c | 3,503$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.85 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 25c | 3,173$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.85 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed Yes | 9c | 2,745$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…f103backed No | 70c | 2,470$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 12c | 2,428$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 15c | 2,287$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.97 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…41bebacked No | 70c | 2,019$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3872…bb1dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,830$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 16c | 1,786$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.42 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +8.3wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x577d…fe2abacked Yes | 14c | 1,768$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed No | 74c | 1,612$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.7 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 70c | 1,447$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.43 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 1,332$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 32c | 1,300$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.16 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked No | 69c | 1,205$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.06 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5efb…55a1backed No | 76c | 1,200$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 31c | 1,200$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 38c | 1,190$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.14 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 60c | 1,140$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.62 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,122$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cf…b265backed Yes | 37c | 1,074$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked No | 68c | 1,006$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.84 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815a…af37backed Yes | 23c | 928.65$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf9…9b13backed Yes | 35c | 919.98$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.49 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…d819backed Yes | 33c | 900$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 73c | 875.56$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.77 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7830…2a16backed Yes | 12c | 863.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd808…43fabacked Yes | 38c | 841$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e10…558cbacked No | 69c | 782.7$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 71c | 771.27$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.87 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 9c | 694.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…c773backed Yes | 31c | 671.57$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.29 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 31c | 667.91$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.4 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…7d80backed No | 68c | 665.06$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Yes | 28c | 620.15$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.73 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 64c | 619.98$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.54 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 30c | 601.12$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.35 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…599cbacked Yes | 8c | 596.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…31f5backed Yes | 45c | 570$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.78 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 77c | 544$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d9…bc47backed Yes | 30c | 525.61$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…a399backed Yes | 24c | 512.93$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 498.48$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed Yes | 8c | 491.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…8efdbacked Yes | 34c | 477.35$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde88…144cbacked Yes | 29c | 470$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 77c | 453.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 79c | 450$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.78 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 31c | 434.73$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.07 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 69c | 404.47$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.93 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 63c | 400$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.61 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed Yes | 15c | 381.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 37c | 370.3$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.01 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 64c | 303.13$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.13 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked No | 67c | 300.89$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed Yes | 25c | 277.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 74c | 275$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…ed19backed Yes | 12c | 267$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 80c | 264.41$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 69c | 263.83$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.61 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 33c | 260.48$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.36 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 74c | 259.25$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked No | 59c | 255.66$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x254f…7cc0backed No | 64c | 239.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3673backed Yes | 11c | 235.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 224.04$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed No | 69c | 217.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.36 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Yes | 13c | 213.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 7c | 211.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…9b6cbacked Yes | 24c | 210$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…d3ddbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2824…a954backed Yes | 9c | 206$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…19dcbacked Yes | 34c | 203.09$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0552…0cb5backed Yes | 10c | 202.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3577…9cedbacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f2…507fbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b25…c15abacked Yes | 15c | 195.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abe…1446backed No | 74c | 193.11$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 77c | 190.22$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f51…d389backed No | 67c | 187.9$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Yes | 21c | 186.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 80c | 185.76$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa277…ab9ebacked Yes | 38c | 178.79$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed Yes | 23c | 178$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 33c | 172.86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9032…b5c3backed No | 63c | 169.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?this page
- Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No won
- Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes won
- Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No won
- Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.