World Politics · resolved market
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55255d9794581a22229319c2dbb8b9bebcdfdaf9a743a971477fc855f60b7e51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3f2…e1c1backed Yes | 29c | 12,517$3,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,919.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 28c | 8,439$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,111.47 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac0…55f3backed No | 65c | 8,386$5,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,487.81 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 26c | 7,244$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,383.09 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5efb…55a1backed Yes | 21c | 6,745$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,335.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 72c | 5,573$4,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,026.81 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4aeebacked Yes | 38c | 5,297$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,291.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked No | 80c | 5,091$4,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,063.81 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 68c | 5,011$3,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,394.16 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…6621backed Yes | 20c | 4,508$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,612.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +180.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed No | 72c | 4,331$3,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,107.08 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +8.3wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 62c | 3,565$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.31 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b3…2b3abacked No | 75c | 3,478$2,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,613.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…8cbebacked Yes | 25c | 2,814$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.38 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed No | 66c | 2,750$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…b7b5backed Yes | 25c | 2,135$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.51 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.98 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 66c | 1,842$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.79 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 59c | 1,718$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.68 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 28c | 1,651$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.39 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,576$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.9 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 75c | 1,550$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.35 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 47c | 1,505$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.03 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed Yes | 26c | 1,466$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.03 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 56c | 1,446$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 79c | 1,346$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.93 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 68c | 1,328$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.35 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 40c | 1,239$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.62 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 65c | 1,197$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.88 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…f250backed No | 80c | 1,089$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 1,052$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.54 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…c773backed Yes | 45c | 970.03$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.87 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf9…9b13backed Yes | 21c | 920$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 19c | 899.96$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.97 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 58c | 875.19$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.56 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 18c | 857$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.74 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 80c | 800$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 20c | 771$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.22 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed No | 64c | 757.35$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.01 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…5a42backed No | 68c | 739.98$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.58 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1308…45c6backed No | 53c | 666.42$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d9…bc47backed Yes | 19c | 622.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 67c | 554.17$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…8efdbacked Yes | 20c | 526.75$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 38c | 523.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.7 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 69c | 514$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.67 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed No | 65c | 500$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.95 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…ac29backed Yes | 76c | 500$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…e4e0backed No | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe443…c065backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b42…566cbacked Yes | 17c | 487.12$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +471.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed Yes | 33c | 473$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.91 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1727…680ebacked No | 68c | 472.84$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed No | 73c | 464$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 33c | 461.17$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.22 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 68c | 455$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.95 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…2634backed Yes | 41c | 408.35$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…9e91backed No | 62c | 406.62$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.57 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed Yes | 38c | 400$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.56 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed No | 71c | 395.69$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.86 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 65c | 394$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.01 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed No | 78c | 392.27$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.01 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 30c | 384.74$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.46 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 52c | 381.45$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 10c | 359.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 55c | 345.93$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.53 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked No | 79c | 300$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…d6a2backed No | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 53c | 298.6$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.45 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 74c | 295.51$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.31 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 47c | 292.25$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.81 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed No | 71c | 284.9$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Yes | 22c | 284.08$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.47 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc124…bd0fbacked No | 53c | 280$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 43c | 277.86$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.18 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 31c | 252.58$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.28 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 28c | 251.74$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.41 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 13c | 248.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f0fbbacked No | 78c | 243.89$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +181.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 32c | 243.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 72c | 235.26$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.78 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 18c | 230.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Yes | 38c | 226$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 66c | 224$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…bd09backed No | 63c | 222$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 69c | 213$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.61 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929a…5ab4backed Yes | 21c | 209.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.52 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes | 26c | 205$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.7 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2956…d31bbacked No | 67c | 202.67$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.79 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes | 20c | 200.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.08 | 110 | 17.3%19 W · 91 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fd…bfbdbacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2824…a954backed No | 65c | 199$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 25c | 196.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 29c | 192$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.32 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…e7a2backed Yes | 35c | 189.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 73c | 186.93$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.32 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?this page
- Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No won
- Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No won
- Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No won
- Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.