TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Santiago: Franco Agamenone vs Guido Justo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Franco Agamenoneof Franco Agamenone, Guido Justo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$217,772

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,772 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Guido Justo33c26,551$8,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,679.712,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Franco Agamenone54c19,863$10,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,199.781,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Guido Justo43c18,894$8,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,059.222,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe30e…6b87backed Franco Agamenone47c16,958$8,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,941.727452.7%39 W · 35 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Franco Agamenone47c13,330$6,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,130.871384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.7wins+0.36per pick49cpaid+71.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Franco Agamenone53c7,154$3,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,379.2575748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Guido Justo62c6,538$4,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,036.821,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Guido Justo60c4,533$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,720.048343.4%36 W · 47 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Franco Agamenone41c3,233$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.496,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Guido Justo59c3,192$1,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.396,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Franco Agamenone51c2,898$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.623,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed Franco Agamenone38c2,655$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.6310835.2%38 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Guido Justo44c2,396$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.96,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Guido Justo42c2,386$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.4230241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41e1…f9a8backed Franco Agamenone42c2,381$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.959744.3%43 W · 54 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Guido Justo35c2,288$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.9255646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Guido Justo35c2,178$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.062,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Franco Agamenone38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2405658.9%33 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Guido Justo59c1,983$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.9446649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Guido Justo61c1,800$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.935046%23 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Franco Agamenone60c1,722$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.9744038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Franco Agamenone38c1,665$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.34332.6%14 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Franco Agamenone40c1,500$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.63868.4%26 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+40.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Franco Agamenone53c1,471$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.936844.1%30 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9869…1a45backed Guido Justo60c1,400$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84010156.4%57 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Franco Agamenone54c1,378$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.0615147.7%72 W · 79 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3df…f557backed Franco Agamenone41c1,223$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Guido Justo37c1,077$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Franco Agamenone40c1,020$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.521,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Guido Justo44c976.77$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.9259151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Franco Agamenone73c912.23$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.1773458.6%430 W · 304 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Guido Justo39c885$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.154,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Franco Agamenone42c877.84$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.741,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…76a4backed Franco Agamenone57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.192623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Guido Justo2c840$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Franco Agamenone39c769$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.0927231.3%85 W · 187 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Guido Justo42c767.29$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.0311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224e…f7ddbacked Franco Agamenone46c763.15$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.158951.7%46 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Guido Justo54c710.65$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.7520847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd6b…99f5backed Guido Justo42c583.36$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa349…81ecbacked Guido Justo32c561.59$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.712030%6 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Franco Agamenone62c540.53$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.7364065.9%422 W · 218 L+2.9wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Guido Justo58c483.77$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.163948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Guido Justo59c483.67$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2854332.6%14 W · 29 L-8.8wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-42.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8c77…63c4backed Guido Justo54c476.71$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+47.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Franco Agamenone61c451$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6169249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Franco Agamenone60c411.12$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.4511752.1%61 W · 56 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Guido Justo34c381.09$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0943058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Guido Justo58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20033055.8%184 W · 146 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Franco Agamenone63c306.51$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1238147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Guido Justo59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17740744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Guido Justo61c287.43$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.3335040.9%143 W · 207 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Guido Justo61c280.33$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17141955.8%234 W · 185 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Guido Justo60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019653.6%105 W · 91 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e03…ecbdbacked Guido Justo62c241.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+44.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Franco Agamenone41c237.59$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.311,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Franco Agamenone58c236$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9634744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Guido Justo40c207.5$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.212153.7%65 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Franco Agamenone38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12459954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Guido Justo60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Guido Justo59c199$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.411,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Guido Justo24c190.34$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.191,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9b…3de2backed Guido Justo59c190$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Franco Agamenone41c172.46$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.561,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Guido Justo59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d0…39f3backed Franco Agamenone60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.677057.1%40 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Guido Justo61c166.57$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6137071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a7…7916backed Franco Agamenone63c166$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.13757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Franco Agamenone62c161.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3740141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Franco Agamenone58c160.45$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.94,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Guido Justo62c160$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.21,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Guido Justo39c158.26$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.976,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Franco Agamenone38c152$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2419634.2%67 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Guido Justo60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9032842.7%140 W · 188 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Guido Justo34c142.53$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Guido Justo60c141.56$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4612245.1%55 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Franco Agamenone66c136.36$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3642558.8%250 W · 175 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Guido Justo37c133.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe71c…79aebacked Franco Agamenone76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581070%7 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick74cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Franco Agamenone38c131.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5766452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Guido Justo60c128.27$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.885748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Guido Justo60c125$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Franco Agamenone69c125$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.472,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Guido Justo60c125$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7521856.4%123 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Guido Justo60c119$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.557,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac5…27d0backed Guido Justo56c116.02$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.31450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Guido Justo60c110$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6682560.5%499 W · 326 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Guido Justo25c109$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.251,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf926…e0cbbacked Guido Justo23c103.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Guido Justo62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6277967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Guido Justo39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9211650.9%59 W · 57 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Guido Justo25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Guido Justo60c91.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef2e…10c3backed Guido Justo34c89.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.374656.5%26 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Guido Justo59c88.8$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5116046.9%75 W · 85 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1628…c90bbacked Guido Justo34c87.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-52.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Franco Agamenone64c86.93$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5443951.9%228 W · 211 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Franco Agamenone60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.95149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Franco Agamenone39c79.97$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.781,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Guido Justo36c77.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.433,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.