TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,691 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over45c55,025$24,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,545.0954539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under55c36,793$20,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,623.529,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under52c8,027$4,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,853.1148054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under53c6,180$3,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,904.728153.1%43 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c6,038$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under57c5,971$3,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,588.284,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87bf…6eabbacked Over49c4,362$2,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,137.38425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa669…a7c2backed Under51c2,941$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.171250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c2,394$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.13,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under51c2,137$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.2549246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Under55c2,105$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.1911241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5dca…f0f3backed Under51c1,864$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.36425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df5…b750backed Under51c1,765$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.85475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Over46c1,626$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.9654747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Under52c1,604$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.4514455.6%80 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Under51c1,596$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.0819359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c1,278$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.892,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c1,086$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.986,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3918349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under54c918.01$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.1358450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c799.97$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.9984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeae8…c494backed Under51c732.89$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.97475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23f7…cb68backed Over44c700$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc112…3841backed Under56c700$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over40c650.08$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.8325840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Over46c436.96$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20121843.6%95 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Under57c407.02$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.0222447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over17c381.02$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.878,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65c5…c3f2backed Over47c374.47$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x246c…8142backed Over46c370.78$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.563839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Over48c275.85$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7316642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over47c262.04$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.161,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Under56c223.21$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.219555.8%53 W · 42 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cdc…60a4backed Over50c212$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1062564%16 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10045146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Under50c199.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.347048.5%228 W · 242 L-18.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under55c197.13$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.555,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0814549%71 W · 74 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Under55c188.55$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8522154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5743447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac94…e414backed Over47c168.09$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over47c165.63$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5978648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over47c148.61$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8539943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under56c143.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.871,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1629…8510backed Under57c140.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3510249%50 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Under55c139$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5513554.1%73 W · 62 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c115.19$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.292,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Over46c110$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.618339.3%72 W · 111 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Over47c109.74$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.586248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…b6d0backed Over46c97.83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bb4…692abacked Over36c97.23$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353221.9%7 W · 25 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-44.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbed6…46e2backed Under52c96.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.131154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e8…ed04backed Over47c95.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456342.9%27 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a2…0020backed Under57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.726848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over45c86.07$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.731,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under51c83.9$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8849249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b22…dd09backed Over45c79.82$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4393145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Under57c70.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4814047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1bb…6cc9backed Under57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.187454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under53c62.52$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6251438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under41c60.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0980440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe62a…8abebacked Under51c58.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.531952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0d…65ebbacked Under52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.69955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over48c52.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1464844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Under78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1127747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed Under57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8617459.2%103 W · 71 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c43.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.714,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x367b…a306backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over49c38.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6395047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under78c36.24$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.881,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea7…1be7backed Over47c35.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.461258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under56c32.06$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.245460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x788c…4a44backed Over47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4168…a631backed Under51c31.9$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6312146.3%56 W · 65 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed Under57c31.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.674942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over45c31.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.093,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over45c31.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0655846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde58…b901backed Under51c29.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.183754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under50c29.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4832752.9%173 W · 154 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under51c27.89$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7691746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under55c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.061,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa684…ca71backed Over47c24.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.296440.6%26 W · 38 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Under51c23.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6383158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d9…bad0backed Under56c23.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.216864.7%44 W · 24 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x257b…c08bbacked Under51c21.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.574946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0565…a951backed Under56c21.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108328.9%24 W · 59 L-14.6wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.887049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa255…2ffcbacked Under66c15.28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.252050%10 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.