TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Lakers, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,036

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,036 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e30…acbfbacked Rockets47c731.85$345 inWon+$386.92,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Lakers51c617.79$314 inLost-$314.125,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9961…edcfbacked Lakers53c377.36$200 inLost-$2001520%3 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-49.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Rockets49c372.49$183 inWon+$189.525759.6%34 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Rockets48c237.21$115 inWon+$122.5217436.2%63 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf2e…0d9ebacked Lakers51c196$100 inLost-$1003040%12 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x640b…ec00backed Rockets50c160$80 inWon+$802060%12 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+37.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Lakers53c150.09$79 inLost-$79.2533837.3%126 W · 212 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Lakers53c147.17$78 inLost-$7829844%131 W · 167 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Rockets50c100$50 inWon+$5018339.3%72 W · 111 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lakers51c93.5$48 inLost-$4826353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c4d…884bbacked Rockets48c41.67$20 inWon+$21.672669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a6…2e3dbacked Lakers54c35.19$19 inLost-$19250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Lakers41c30.68$13 inLost-$12.631,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2996…73debacked Rockets49c28.57$14 inWon+$14.5713744.5%61 W · 76 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Rockets50c20$10 inWon+$1040750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Lakers50c20$10 inLost-$1039548.4%191 W · 204 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Lakers69c15.65$11 inLost-$10.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.