TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,286
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,683

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,286 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over41c6,638$2,722 inLost-$2,721.7854539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under59c5,808$3,403 inWon+$2,4054,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c1,184$544 inLost-$543.929,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under59c1,108$654 inWon+$454.43,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Under53c769.21$408 inWon+$361.5320154.2%109 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over19c752$139 inLost-$139.378,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c457.51$215 inLost-$215.034,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under54c433.45$234 inWon+$199.4547651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under58c258.62$150 inWon+$108.6290957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon+$85.1929554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under57c178.59$101 inWon+$77.36,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over47c145.26$68 inLost-$68.2758450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over42c138.62$58 inLost-$58.222,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Over42c120$50 inLost-$50.418339.3%72 W · 111 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Under58c100.48$58 inWon+$42.220762.3%129 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over43c90.23$39 inLost-$38.5351438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Over50c90$45 inLost-$4523051.3%118 W · 112 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under59c82.93$49 inWon+$341,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b22…dd09backed Over43c67.83$29 inLost-$292045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Over41c60.98$25 inLost-$2510462.5%65 W · 39 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5bb4…692abacked Over43c58.14$25 inLost-$253221.9%7 W · 25 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-44.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c54.78$26 inLost-$25.752,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over45c52.6$24 inLost-$23.671,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over45c50$23 inLost-$22.578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over42c50$21 inLost-$2169337.8%262 W · 431 L+2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under57c48.25$28 inWon+$20.754,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under58c43.54$25 inWon+$18.295,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over44c42.94$19 inLost-$18.8917643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over47c40$19 inLost-$18.887049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9be6…b8b2backed Under58c34.48$20 inWon+$14.483262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b5c…ab22backed Over47c30$14 inLost-$14.16053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2ab…31b8backed Under54c27$15 inWon+$12.42475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+44.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Over46c25$12 inLost-$11.553339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under53c24.94$13 inWon+$11.6632752.9%173 W · 154 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under52c24.69$13 inWon+$11.9625840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.