TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,846

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,846 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over46c32,893$15,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,001.9854539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under54c11,654$6,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,401.416,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.9958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Under52c7,623$3,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,659.1848352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under53c7,190$3,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,367.249,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under54c6,762$3,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,107.6834851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Under55c5,021$2,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,259.4511241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under52c4,123$2,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.041,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9201,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Over48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92012745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Under52c3,769$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.234535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under52c3,136$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.282,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa669…a7c2backed Under48c3,125$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.821250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56022752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Over48c2,610$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.814245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under54c2,512$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.144,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over52c2,172$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.753,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under51c1,597$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.2725951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75e1…3ff3backed Under57c1,382$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.468853.4%47 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c1,105$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.322,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over37c1,002$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.5925840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over47c983.29$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.273,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Over52c900$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.1310251%52 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under52c733.03$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.8526637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under48c693$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.361,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Under52c650$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3123050%15 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under79c605$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4326337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31280653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc53…2bb7backed Over8c591.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Over51c588$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8823553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over46c413.69$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.331,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over19c410$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.41,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5302…0a6fbacked Over53c399.98$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.9911957.1%68 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Under48c372.96$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.9410651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under78c343.12$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under54c331.78$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.814,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under53c305.37$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.432,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under51c292.17$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2758450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under73c242.14$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.981,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Over54c231.48$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12542845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under52c228.96$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9642853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Over45c222.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025753.7%138 W · 119 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under48c220.83$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8349246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under51c218.15$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.443,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under48c214$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2858347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fe…6a33backed Under55c181.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.968045%36 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8226956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8214156.7%80 W · 61 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Under52c180.5$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6422154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over46c173.43$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7451438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Under52c156.77$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2517153.2%91 W · 80 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Under53c150.93$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6621748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Over49c133.16$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2540546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over50c128.53$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6749249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b22…dd09backed Over46c125.35$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under55c120.47$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.211,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over48c104.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Over49c102.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0318339.3%72 W · 111 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4859650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x838a…0815backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12f2…0a1dbacked Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over13c99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.872,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Over44c98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.126663.6%42 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Over48c97$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5610955%60 W · 49 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Under56c94.36$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.527843.6%34 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under54c92.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.131,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a2…0020backed Under56c90.01$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.016848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Under55c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.59845.9%45 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under52c88.25$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4716642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9572…ea8ebacked Over47c87$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.897960.8%48 W · 31 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0b3…091cbacked Under53c87$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.898251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under53c70.92$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6767248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Over51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.79958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Over53c70$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.120140.3%81 W · 120 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed Under76c65.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.891580%12 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+33.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8611354.9%62 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17be…a643backed Under47c59.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.81353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bb4…692abacked Over29c56.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.743221.9%7 W · 25 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-44.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe7d9…bad0backed Under55c54.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.986864.7%44 W · 24 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd72f…2806backed Over43c54.79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.562842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…b6d0backed Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Under57c51.33$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0754951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0867…c3f4backed Over42c48.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5620644.7%92 W · 114 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under52c47.04$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.581,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3c…1a73backed Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.487049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f0…7d99backed Under53c36.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2712349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Under60c36.17$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4718052.2%94 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db2…cc8cbacked Under57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0917153.8%92 W · 79 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under79c34.49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2433159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Over49c34.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.835551.3%182 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under48c31.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4532752.9%173 W · 154 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c05…639ebacked Over49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158452.4%44 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.524044.6%107 W · 133 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.118440.8%75 W · 109 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0f…30e6backed Over52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d8…d527backed Over52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.