TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Amen Thompson: Points O/U 18.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,016
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,029

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,016 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x339a…1eaebacked Yes57c1,623$931 inWon+$691.891,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed No42c1,549$656 inLost-$656.071,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5425…f968backed No42c383.89$159 inLost-$159.397041.4%29 W · 41 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Yes58c241.39$140 inWon+$101.3892058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Yes57c191.5$109 inWon+$82.1797049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No43c178.81$77 inLost-$76.891,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No56c158.19$88 inLost-$88.2965762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Yes59c150.78$89 inWon+$61.8283158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No46c100$46 inLost-$462,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed No54c99.96$54 inLost-$53.9840053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c0…92d8backed Yes46c86.96$40 inWon+$46.962236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No42c81.14$34 inLost-$33.951,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Yes44c69.76$31 inWon+$39.081,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No42c68.09$29 inLost-$28.664944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dd1…6a87backed Yes58c40.98$24 inWon+$17.2111565.2%75 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10a7…97d4backed Yes55c36.36$20 inWon+$16.362360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon+$15.0912548%60 W · 65 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes59c33.11$20 inWon+$13.5889853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6f…f414backed Yes45c29.04$13 inWon+$15.976445.3%29 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x191b…824abacked Yes55c27.19$15 inWon+$12.195253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cac…a026backed No43c25$11 inLost-$10.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Yes58c20$12 inWon+$8.430256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Yes57c19.48$11 inWon+$8.3846255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.