TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$233,957

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,957 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a57…2afabacked Under51c143,218$72,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,3758944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c55,853$27,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,366.621,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over49c47,140$23,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,098.761,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c15,243$7,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,4704,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under51c10,601$5,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,198.8337747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over1c9,946$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6167921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over48c4,623$2,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,218.8838251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed6…46e2backed Over51c3,120$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.091154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over49c3,061$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1a6…841abacked Over52c2,598$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.68425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c2,394$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.384,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1c…a6c5backed Under51c2,329$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.415046%23 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8c6…9211backed Over59c2,239$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.2614847.3%70 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c2,183$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.488,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c2,078$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.221,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under51c2,071$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.5970246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under52c1,667$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.1664651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Over53c1,620$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.713946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under51c1,396$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.0824450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3324…3b4cbacked Over3c1,309$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.653040%12 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c1,306$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.043,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over50c1,300$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over55c1,100$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60591050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under53c1,017$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.572,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under45c1,004$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.4595651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Under51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3918448.9%90 W · 94 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Over52c900$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.750239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5448…0c40backed Over54c854.01$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.25633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over49c827.01$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.074531.1%14 W · 31 L-7.3wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x515f…7e7fbacked Over54c819.31$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.434639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x973b…a912backed Over50c810$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4055947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under72c758.81$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.5665872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over31c748.31$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.5325840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over50c743$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.554443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over50c694$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34715543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under53c621.28$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2921,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over44c572.41$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over49c453.41$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.1716347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under41c441.22$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.321,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over50c430$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21524955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1961,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5302…0a6fbacked Over54c399.98$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.9911957.1%68 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1622447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb11d…3706backed Under50c361.89$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.951457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007334.2%25 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c326.02$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.832,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c307.7$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.314,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Over50c302.42$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.0933748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c287.37$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.269,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under74c280.09$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0140344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c267.81$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.843,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Over27c237.46$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4212232%39 W · 83 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked Over55c229.28$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1258851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c223.99$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.455,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2791…2346backed Over23c219.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6300%0 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over26c204.26$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5190357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over49c199.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9925846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2b…8fe6backed Under53c190.39$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.66261.3%38 W · 24 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under53c190.23$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.062,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under55c185.02$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1145452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017148%82 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Over23c178.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2311128.8%32 W · 79 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e03…b448backed Over45c175$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over44c169$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3615543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41d4…a401backed Under51c159.47$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.144242.9%18 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over52c159$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.681,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over44c157.8$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7053149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Under52c155$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7522154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfca…2db8backed Under51c152$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.644837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under46c149.05$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1191846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over50c148.54$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2357650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over12c147.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6680440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over49c142.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8539943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9541…b58ebacked Over50c131.75$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7110725.2%27 W · 80 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-36.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over16c128.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.920837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under46c115.46$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0958450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4819…c342backed Over44c114.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507657.9%44 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over29c114.22$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Over50c113$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.523946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1629…8510backed Under55c109.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5310249%50 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Under73c108.24$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7419166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…6807backed Over49c108$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.164452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over21c105.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.141,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over54c105.56$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5723657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018157.5%104 W · 77 L+21.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x26c3…e26dbacked Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.042166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x462a…8b5cbacked Over49c98.02$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0315639.7%62 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over43c97.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.729556.6%167 W · 128 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed Over53c97.42$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6311651.7%60 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under40c97.2$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3223651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a2…0020backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5937…cc97backed Over53c94.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed52…2dbdbacked Over40c94.56$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.83933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-46.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeeb0…c9f8backed Over50c93.94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.971752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Over54c93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2218339.3%72 W · 111 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.