NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2fd1b26f49a17d008d745436ed1b4b027fa23eac2528facb3adbd2b022027f2

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Lakersof Rockets, Lakers
Resolved: Mar 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $937,712

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $937,712 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lakers	53c	502,237$266,625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235,611.68	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Rockets	47c	451,997$212,419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212,418.79	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e6b…d96dbacked Rockets	47c	199,031$93,545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93,544.51	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers	53c	95,334$50,527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44,806.78	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Lakers	53c	53,441$28,324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,117.17	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Rockets	49c	53,050$26,203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,202.86	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Rockets	47c	42,553$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,999.98	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lakers	53c	27,188$14,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,807.81	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Rockets	52c	26,109$13,577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,576.63	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers	48c	21,133$10,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,976.41	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Rockets	46c	20,916$9,621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,620.9	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers	49c	17,902$8,788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,113.9	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Lakers	54c	15,000$8,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,900	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Rockets	47c	10,000$4,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,700	265	44.9%119 W · 146 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Lakers	55c	10,000$5,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,499.99	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Lakers	53c	8,555$4,534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,020.79	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Lakers	60c	6,729$4,021 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,707.77	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers	47c	6,384$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,383.65	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers	53c	6,346$3,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,985.52	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Lakers	47c	4,963$2,332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,630.14	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Lakers	54c	4,000$2,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,840	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Lakers	52c	4,000$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,900.19	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Lakers	53c	3,427$1,816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,610.83	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Lakers	53c	3,333$1,766 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,566.51	147	53.1%78 W · 69 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc42f…9390backed Lakers	48c	3,125$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,625	52	61.5%32 W · 20 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xace8…4624backed Rockets	46c	2,720$1,251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,251	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-3.1wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Lakers	54c	2,445$1,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,124.57	524	60.1%315 W · 209 L	+35.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Lakers	52c	2,395$1,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,155.1	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers	53c	2,258$1,191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,067.2	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Rockets	45c	2,241$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Lakers	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.78	266	37.2%99 W · 167 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Rockets	53c	1,887$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	183	49.2%90 W · 93 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Rockets	52c	1,542$803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$803.3	274	55.5%152 W · 122 L	+15.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lakers	48c	1,495$724 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$770.31	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Rockets	46c	1,301$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$597.64	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Rockets	54c	1,300$702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$702	169	53.3%90 W · 79 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Lakers	53c	1,099$582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$516.4	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Rockets	50c	1,055$531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531.41	419	47.7%200 W · 219 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Rockets	46c	1,046$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.05	180	43.3%78 W · 102 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Lakers	52c	1,045$543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$502.05	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Lakers	54c	1,030$556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$473.8	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x973b…a912backed Lakers	54c	1,030$556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$473.63	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Rockets	46c	1,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Rockets	54c	962.96$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Lakers	54c	949.63$513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.83	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa583…2928backed Rockets	48c	884.67$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.64	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Lakers	49c	859.4$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435.25	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lakers	59c	837.73$494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343.47	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Lakers	58c	800$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336	489	57.5%281 W · 208 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Rockets	23c	621.44$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.19	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4918…2ec9backed Rockets	47c	616.58$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x960d…4629backed Lakers	53c	604.89$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.64	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+4.5wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Rockets	55c	572$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.6	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x515f…7e7fbacked Rockets	47c	563.94$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.05	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-4.6wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Rockets	53c	555.28$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.3	144	66%95 W · 49 L	+17.1wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Rockets	50c	515.08$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.52	304	53.3%162 W · 142 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Lakers	48c	500.2$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.07	509	48.5%247 W · 262 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Rockets	46c	500$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	354	44.6%158 W · 196 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Rockets	45c	494.15$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.94	624	50%312 W · 312 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Rockets	50c	483.5$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.07	576	50%288 W · 288 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5440…c640backed Lakers	54c	480$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.8	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-5.0wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Rockets	50c	474.91$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.58	487	51.7%252 W · 235 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Rockets	53c	441.51$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234	229	53.3%122 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Rockets	48c	416.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	131	54.2%71 W · 60 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Lakers	54c	415.52$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.14	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf14a…852ebacked Rockets	49c	409.95$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Lakers	53c	400$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188	106	45.3%48 W · 58 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5302…0a6fbacked Rockets	53c	400$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212	119	57.1%68 W · 51 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Rockets	50c	382.5$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.25	775	49.2%381 W · 394 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Lakers	52c	374.12$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.58	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Rockets	46c	358.02$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.72	221	54.8%121 W · 100 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd62f…4857backed Rockets	53c	354.72$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x190f…01f3backed Rockets	49c	326.99$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.22	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers	50c	321.33$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.15	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Rockets	50c	320.41$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.45	126	50%63 W · 63 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68c…c8b1backed Rockets	46c	315.26$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.11	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	-4.9wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Lakers	54c	312.3$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.66	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Rockets	50c	305.5$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.48	267	56.2%150 W · 117 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Rockets	51c	300$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.5	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Lakers	48c	280.67$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.95	234	46.2%108 W · 126 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Lakers	47c	255.32$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.32	455	42.4%193 W · 262 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe23…e72bbacked Rockets	50c	238$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.86	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Rockets	52c	234.95$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.17	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Lakers	50c	232$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed Rockets	50c	232$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Lakers	51c	217.75$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.13	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7aab…15c5backed Lakers	46c	217.04$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.55	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Rockets	51c	215$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.15	236	55.5%131 W · 105 L	+12.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Lakers	54c	214.99$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.18	258	40.7%105 W · 153 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Lakers	49c	202.71$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.91	877	44.7%392 W · 485 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Lakers	53c	200.65$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.32	514	38.7%199 W · 315 L	-29.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Lakers	55c	200$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d44…a304backed Rockets	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Rockets	52c	192.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.13	225	52.4%118 W · 107 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed Rockets	52c	190$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	251	53.8%135 W · 116 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Lakers	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Rockets	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	190	54.7%104 W · 86 L	+7.6wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Lakers	53c	188.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.67	252	45.2%114 W · 138 L	-11.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Rockets	50c	179.98$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.77	313	54.6%171 W · 142 L	+10.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Rockets	47c	157.45$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Rockets (-1.5)this page
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5No won
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Austin Reaves: Points O/U 20.5No won
Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 9.5No won
Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 26.5No won
Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Lakers vs. RocketsLakers won
Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Under won
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Under won
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Under won
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Under won
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Under won
LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5No won
LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5No won
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5No won
Luka Dončić: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Lakers won
Tari Eason: Points O/U 9.5No won
Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Rockets (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event