NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbab629837000df5e6e03ff7739cd2ec5d4529e936ade50a8c7168cec805f414f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Rockets, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $385,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,266 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Rockets | 45c | 65,999$29,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,959.75 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Lakers | 57c | 54,632$31,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,491.85 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Lakers | 51c | 23,263$11,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,432.93 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Lakers | 57c | 21,330$12,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,171.84 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Lakers | 50c | 17,370$8,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,684.82 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccf…6ed9backed Rockets | 50c | 16,560$8,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,280 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Lakers | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,349.93 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0929…d6acbacked Rockets | 50c | 14,286$7,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,142.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 54c | 12,489$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,738.96 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Lakers | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,879.96 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 52c | 11,872$6,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,689.09 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 52c | 10,685$5,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,117.88 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0865…3dffbacked Lakers | 53c | 9,525$5,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,507.04 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcaf…7755backed Rockets | 50c | 8,658$4,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,329 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets | 43c | 7,454$3,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,205.14 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 54c | 6,296$3,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.4 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Rockets | 44c | 5,689$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.86 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Rockets | 50c | 5,540$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Rockets | 50c | 5,334$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.8 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Lakers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Lakers | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.98 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Rockets | 42c | 4,708$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.29 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets | 49c | 4,409$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.34 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Rockets | 50c | 4,270$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Rockets | 47c | 4,226$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Rockets | 46c | 4,215$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.76 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Rockets | 49c | 4,161$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.04 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Rockets | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Rockets | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Lakers | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.94 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Lakers | 52c | 3,728$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.52 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…c3f2backed Rockets | 49c | 3,229$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Rockets | 43c | 3,208$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.44 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Rockets | 43c | 3,133$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.15 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Lakers | 58c | 3,045$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.06 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Lakers | 53c | 2,836$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.15 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rockets | 57c | 2,581$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.78 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Rockets | 48c | 2,532$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.57 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Rockets | 43c | 2,287$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.52 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Lakers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Rockets | 57c | 1,889$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.76 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 56c | 1,884$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.1 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Lakers | 54c | 1,851$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.5 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Rockets | 43c | 1,832$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.76 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Lakers | 55c | 1,821$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.35 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd870…9b36backed Lakers | 53c | 1,806$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Rockets | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…1394backed Rockets | 48c | 1,581$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Rockets | 50c | 1,428$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Rockets | 51c | 1,413$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.11 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Lakers | 52c | 1,368$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.92 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Lakers | 56c | 1,356$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.56 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 56c | 1,345$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.61 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Rockets | 46c | 1,314$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.13 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Rockets | 50c | 1,293$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.56 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Lakers | 55c | 1,224$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.99 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Rockets | 43c | 1,153$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Lakers | 49c | 1,110$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.86 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Rockets | 59c | 1,100$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.62 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked Lakers | 51c | 1,075$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.43 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Lakers | 52c | 1,035$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.8 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f1…e373backed Rockets | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Rockets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Rockets | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lakers | 46c | 981.04$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.76 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Lakers | 52c | 938.9$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.67 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Lakers | 55c | 911.53$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.53 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…7e7fbacked Rockets | 49c | 876.18$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.33 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Rockets | 43c | 865.51$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.17 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Rockets | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Rockets | 46c | 790.01$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.9 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Lakers | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Rockets | 47c | 693.09$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.68 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Rockets | 46c | 641.61$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.26 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Lakers | 52c | 640.89$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.79 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Lakers | 52c | 633.05$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.8 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Rockets | 46c | 599.91$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.93 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Rockets | 47c | 591.84$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.83 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Lakers | 52c | 575$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.65 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Rockets | 44c | 512.28$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.93 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Rockets | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Lakers | 51c | 507.84$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.84 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0c…160cbacked Rockets | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Lakers | 52c | 468.82$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.96 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Lakers | 52c | 432.69$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.69 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Rockets | 49c | 419$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.22 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…8acebacked Rockets | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Lakers | 53c | 405$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.59 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Rockets | 42c | 400.1$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.04 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Lakers | 58c | 398.24$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.26 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Rockets | 46c | 394.45$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.63 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Rockets | 45c | 391.67$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.25 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68c…c8b1backed Rockets | 43c | 390.7$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.35 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Lakers | 52c | 388.34$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.4 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Rockets | 46c | 387.16$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.29 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rockets | 45c | 384.29$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.55 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Lakers | 58c | 345.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.17 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Lakers | 43c | 340.66$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.52 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Rockets | 48c | 332.06$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.73 | 236 | 55.5%131 W · 105 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)this page
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Lakers vs. RocketsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Lakers won
- Tari Eason: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.