La Liga · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d27cf6020a154db58b5e8cd0135be86dcdff35033c3bbeda4df8cf734b22b07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,472 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Over | 34c | 53,168$18,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,122.79 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 38,451$21,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,411.58 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Over | 33c | 15,775$5,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,628.26 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 68c | 15,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 67c | 12,941$8,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,665.73 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 67c | 7,284$4,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,858.34 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 67c | 5,190$3,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,477.43 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 42c | 3,440$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.07 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 66c | 3,409$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.94 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under | 31c | 3,186$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Under | 68c | 2,866$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.71 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 1c | 1,176$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 67c | 800$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…c561backed Over | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cf…80b0backed Under | 36c | 730.56$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 673.63$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.03 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 52c | 583.81$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.26 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Over | 66c | 519.72$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 41c | 506.94$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.24 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.05 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 69c | 491.3$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 68c | 467.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.23 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Over | 54c | 463.19$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.19 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 69c | 457.79$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.45 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 51c | 425$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.25 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 66c | 400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 67c | 400$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 66c | 397.01$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.83 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 69c | 380$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.15 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 68c | 379.99$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.6 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Under | 27c | 375.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 367$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.9 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 66c | 330.73$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.28 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Over | 32c | 323.73$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Over | 34c | 294.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.85 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ee…7e3abacked Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…2925backed Under | 68c | 286.76$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Under | 40c | 252$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…8b97backed Over | 63c | 206$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Over | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Over | 42c | 196.15$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.15 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 38c | 171.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 33c | 164.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.46 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 32c | 156.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.41 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Over | 32c | 153.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.21 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 32c | 153.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.13 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Under | 68c | 147.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 68c | 143.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 67c | 140$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 67c | 120$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 67c | 120$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…e914backed Over | 34c | 117.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…7ad6backed Over | 34c | 113$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.58 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 63c | 102.08$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Under | 48c | 96.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…afe2backed Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Under | 32c | 82.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 57c | 80.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 69c | 75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 68c | 73.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 31c | 65.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Under | 67c | 65.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa255…2ffcbacked Under | 68c | 60.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…2d07backed Over | 35c | 56.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 97 | 22.7%22 W · 75 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x589c…b558backed Over | 37c | 53.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 48.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 69c | 47.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 95 | 71.6%68 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 42c | 45.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 67c | 42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 56c | 40.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 64c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 188 | 42%79 W · 109 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de3…3ad2backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…e7e3backed Under | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d65…2d2bbacked Under | 52c | 33.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…5c9ebacked Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…483abacked Under | 69c | 27.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 68c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.