TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$582,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $582,793 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Over56c253,436$141,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111,511.671070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c196,293$82,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,287.414,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over54c145,813$78,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,127.5910450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Over55c50,888$28,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,852.58683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+73.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under44c48,274$21,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,241.9820449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under44c45,265$19,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,916.742133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under45c42,328$19,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,041.6990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over56c30,000$16,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,199.829743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c17,415$7,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,858.0750149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90a1…73d6backed Under44c15,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,600742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under44c14,000$6,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2305757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under44c13,335$5,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,843.8724145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Under44c11,111$4,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,888.841752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed Under44c11,096$4,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,882.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under44c10,113$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.7250249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Over56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4006746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under47c9,457$4,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,444.63246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under44c9,091$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0007439.2%29 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under47c8,094$3,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,804.183540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under43c6,574$2,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,811.7311839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c06…8478backed Under44c5,905$2,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,598250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under45c4,786$2,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,153.769142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Under45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.763145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under47c4,100$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92764046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Under45c3,131$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39512236.1%44 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc9…18c4backed Over52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4401546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under48c2,780$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.3930446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under29c2,640$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.832755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c2,572$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.052,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over55c2,267$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.4242851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf93…e5e9backed Under45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x175e…49b4backed Under46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Under7c2,128$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.381915.8%3 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-58.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under44c2,019$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8881136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88014348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.983762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.268853.4%47 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under1c1,906$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.765520%11 W · 44 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under45c1,677$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.8930749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Over56c1,600$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7042962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+44.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under45c1,393$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.8620245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under47c1,340$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.6314342%60 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c1,050$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.951,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under45c1,004$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.5541147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over55c999.97$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9912845.3%58 W · 70 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Under44c999.96$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.988550.6%43 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36022552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over57c800$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.263151.6%16 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under45c787.16$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.7932545.2%147 W · 178 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32e5…8b41backed Under44c711.36$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Over78c700$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1541266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27012954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under41c590.28$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.6612152.9%64 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over53c566.15$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.157850%39 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over55c556.64$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.2613728.5%39 W · 98 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2203565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf617…80c9backed Under44c481.82$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over55c469$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.0535148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Under44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004062.5%25 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked Under45c443.23$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.482755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84c3…6efebacked Under47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under7c399$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9318842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Under45c397.77$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.376442.2%27 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under42c392.71$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.2827850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under47c384.15$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.5522746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under30c374.82$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4561557.7%355 W · 260 L+41.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under44c364.6$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4214647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under46c360$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.612951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Under46c352.62$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.584045%18 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over57c351$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.126550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc17…f3c4backed Over54c332.96$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.164452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Under12c332.51$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.939530.5%29 W · 66 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over78c330.25$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4110820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under44c322.88$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.453053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under13c315.69$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.71,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under44c311.5$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.823557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13527652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13519750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13529053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13531751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Under44c300$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.82254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x368c…9f72backed Over54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf901…5f48backed Under44c266.62$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under46c254.89$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.131,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under46c254.03$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0911354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11011154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa793…2bb7backed Under44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under46c249.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9989050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under45c249.04$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.441,03547.9%496 W · 539 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over57c236.84$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.844443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under29c226.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.11,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x522e…5ba3backed Over52c226.05$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006651.5%34 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94b5…1225backed Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.