La Liga · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fc4c58f8c7d7fbf4f27c72b3bbe0d1a881c9994848b6d89e73a2caf1082adaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $582,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $582,793 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Over | 56c | 253,436$141,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,511.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 196,293$82,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,287.41 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over | 54c | 145,813$78,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,127.59 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Over | 55c | 50,888$28,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,852.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 44c | 48,274$21,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,241.98 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Under | 44c | 45,265$19,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,916.74 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 45c | 42,328$19,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,041.69 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,199.82 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 17,415$7,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,858.07 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Under | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 44c | 14,000$6,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,230 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 44c | 13,335$5,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,843.87 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Under | 44c | 11,111$4,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,888.84 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…e461backed Under | 44c | 11,096$4,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,882.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 44c | 10,113$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.72 | 502 | 49.6%249 W · 253 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 47c | 9,457$4,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444.6 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 44c | 9,091$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 47c | 8,094$3,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,804.18 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 43c | 6,574$2,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.73 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c06…8478backed Under | 44c | 5,905$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 4,786$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.7 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Under | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.76 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 47c | 4,100$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Under | 45c | 3,131$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…18c4backed Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 48c | 2,780$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.39 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 29c | 2,640$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.83 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 2,572$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.05 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 55c | 2,267$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.42 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…e5e9backed Under | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…49b4backed Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Under | 7c | 2,128$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.38 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under | 44c | 2,019$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.98 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.26 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 1c | 1,906$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 45c | 1,677$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.89 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Over | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 45c | 1,393$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.86 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 47c | 1,340$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.63 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 1,050$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.95 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 45c | 1,004$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.55 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 55c | 999.97$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 44c | 999.96$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.98 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.26 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 45c | 787.16$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.79 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…8b41backed Under | 44c | 711.36$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Over | 78c | 700$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 41c | 590.28$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.66 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 53c | 566.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.15 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 55c | 556.64$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.26 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…80c9backed Under | 44c | 481.82$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 55c | 469$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.05 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Under | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Under | 45c | 443.23$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.48 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6efebacked Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 7c | 399$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 188 | 42%79 W · 109 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 45c | 397.77$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.37 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 42c | 392.71$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.28 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 47c | 384.15$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.55 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 30c | 374.82$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.45 | 615 | 57.7%355 W · 260 L | +41.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 44c | 364.6$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.42 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 46c | 360$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Under | 46c | 352.62$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.58 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 57c | 351$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.1 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 54c | 332.96$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.16 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Under | 12c | 332.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 78c | 330.25$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 44c | 322.88$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.45 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 13c | 315.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under | 44c | 311.5$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.82 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 44c | 300$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…9f72backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Under | 44c | 266.62$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 46c | 254.89$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.13 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 46c | 254.03$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.09 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 218 | 49.1%107 W · 111 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…2bb7backed Under | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 46c | 249.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.99 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 45c | 249.04$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.44 | 1,035 | 47.9%496 W · 539 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 57c | 236.84$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 29c | 226.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522e…5ba3backed Over | 52c | 226.05$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b5…1225backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.