Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86c4455035d81c512138b8e38ade7defdb46708d3ee43098cdc8429a7d3b9bd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $962,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $941,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $962,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 522 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked No | 67c | 105,825$70,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,295.67 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 74c | 36,954$27,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,528.81 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…53f7backed Yes | 20c | 30,101$6,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,005.07 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ea…48dbbacked No | 64c | 27,430$17,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,765.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 29c | 25,663$7,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,554.41 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 43c | 25,638$11,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,023.87 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 40c | 24,961$10,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,089.44 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…ba12backed Yes | 17c | 23,664$4,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 8c | 19,303$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.8 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…d6abbacked Yes | 36c | 18,899$6,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,785.4 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 9c | 17,877$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.93 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 2c | 17,517$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.92 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 36c | 17,331$6,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.04 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b0…b8dcbacked Yes | 2c | 15,753$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.65 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb971…e7aebacked No | 63c | 12,905$8,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,792.15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 68c | 12,680$8,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,091 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed No | 57c | 12,638$7,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,481.64 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4806…c329backed Yes | 2c | 11,683$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd133…ef27backed Yes | 0c | 10,440$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 1c | 8,469$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 37c | 7,097$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,645.31 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 64c | 7,013$4,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,536.14 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed No | 76c | 6,846$5,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.48 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 6,480$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d02…5e23backed Yes | 4c | 6,175$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaed1…84e5backed No | 67c | 5,894$3,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9eb…f08dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,820$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa4…5f8cbacked Yes | 9c | 5,794$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.23 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed No | 76c | 5,758$4,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.11 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 58c | 5,659$3,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.81 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 5,489$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Yes | 39c | 5,451$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.66 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0851…b8a0backed Yes | 29c | 5,000$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cd…c187backed No | 73c | 4,864$3,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.31 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 32c | 4,795$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.53 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…20d8backed No | 66c | 4,381$2,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 33c | 4,362$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.66 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…7306backed Yes | 1c | 4,111$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 32c | 3,785$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.98 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ced…011abacked Yes | 49c | 3,747$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.65 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed No | 70c | 3,418$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,339$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.01 | 73 | 8.2%6 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 32c | 3,273$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked No | 56c | 3,243$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.53 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff99…5602backed Yes | 48c | 3,025$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 30c | 2,934$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.46 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da7…0e20backed Yes | 4c | 2,841$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…6952backed Yes | 28c | 2,750$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…008cbacked Yes | 53c | 2,634$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.03 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 3c | 2,600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 91 | 1.1%1 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ba…96abbacked Yes | 1c | 2,590$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,540$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…1df5backed Yes | 1c | 2,441$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c74…f90ebacked No | 55c | 2,416$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.37 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.35per pick | 42cpaid | +169.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe67c…2f79backed Yes | 1c | 2,405$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 20c | 2,338$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.04 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f1…fe43backed No | 72c | 2,236$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 14c | 2,229$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.12 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 1c | 2,222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff3…8c08backed Yes | 43c | 2,212$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.06 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 68c | 2,118$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.35 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca4…1dd4backed No | 72c | 2,087$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 30c | 2,023$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.23 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…58e9backed No | 67c | 1,950$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…9651backed No | 57c | 1,912$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…c2ddbacked Yes | 34c | 1,900$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 34c | 1,870$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.94 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 57c | 1,833$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.87 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…df6cbacked Yes | 24c | 1,801$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…01bcbacked Yes | 32c | 1,800$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 32c | 1,797$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.32 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 36c | 1,795$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.25 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…c548backed Yes | 1c | 1,792$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 48c | 1,760$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.05 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…99e7backed No | 71c | 1,691$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.23 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…1402backed Yes | 34c | 1,635$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.15 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 1,600$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 1,571$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.3 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…248abacked Yes | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…cd4abacked Yes | 33c | 1,560$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.99 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…7dd1backed Yes | 40c | 1,518$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 12c | 1,500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d7…07dbbacked No | 64c | 1,500$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed Yes | 21c | 1,473$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.74 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98b3…961fbacked Yes | 40c | 1,464$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 34c | 1,456$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.95 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…b23cbacked Yes | 34c | 1,451$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.5 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 35c | 1,451$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.22 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3465…7082backed Yes | 28c | 1,440$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4930…82abbacked Yes | 27c | 1,440$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.66 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes | 35c | 1,413$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.74 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,320$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.74 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 34c | 1,298$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.58 | 294 | 36.1%106 W · 188 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…2e56backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…1af3backed Yes | 39c | 1,208$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 31c | 1,195$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa651…1fd0backed Yes | 37c | 1,175$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 57c | 1,164$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.65 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7144…6624backed Yes | 9c | 1,150$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.