TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$604,024

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $604,024 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes35c105,465$36,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,399.972634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c93,364$70,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,879.754,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No66c44,321$29,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,231.431,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes33c38,050$12,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,618.969640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes34c23,665$8,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,046.199743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No74c17,379$12,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,507.8790843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No69c14,067$9,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,406.3411839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3003158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes3c9,999$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.986051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No69c7,861$5,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,436.779748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No65c7,000$4,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4505757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9707…1861backed No65c6,888$4,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,410.771330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes18c6,282$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10012338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes32c6,084$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.2650149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked No72c4,928$3,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.1622753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes31c4,811$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.2510437.5%39 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No66c4,741$3,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.0692254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No66c4,546$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.6514067.9%95 W · 45 L+12.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No78c4,180$3,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.634665.2%30 W · 16 L+8.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+52.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes34c3,676$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2505726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No69c3,566$2,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.9269142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05015044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed No70c2,852$1,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.591457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+57.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a6…bca4backed Yes14c2,340$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.53633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3204…7ac1backed Yes9c2,094$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.091533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes33c2,090$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.094452.3%23 W · 21 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+105.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5711…fbf5backed Yes32c2,063$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6608341%34 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7005563.6%35 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.1349057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.9830446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No66c1,926$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.7211336.3%41 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+450.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes23c1,895$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.1310927.5%30 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8eb2…fea3backed Yes35c1,772$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.73933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes12c1,741$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.717630.3%23 W · 53 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes6c1,698$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Yes13c1,586$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.177339.7%29 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes35c1,400$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49011333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9556…526dbacked Yes35c1,321$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.231020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-74.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Yes4c1,309$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.112924.1%7 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+92.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9da0…523cbacked Yes5c1,209$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Yes31c1,180$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.85154.9%28 W · 23 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14ed…6d09backed Yes35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3504254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Yes3c1,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31425%1 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick4cpaid+525%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4052…0014backed Yes35c992.6$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.41944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1a…30d8backed Yes30c991.95$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No75c940.17$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.9920245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes32c881.25$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28221641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No66c875$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.584939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes35c859.57$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.8512727.6%35 W · 92 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No66c850$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2894465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes36c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No65c800$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28022552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes4c779.12$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2812917.8%23 W · 106 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes26c773.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002045%9 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes2c758.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.164216.7%7 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+162.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Yes38c748.16$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2842653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No66c742.07$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5542851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No65c700$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24522746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes35c700$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2455942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes27c699.98$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18815940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes35c694.29$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2436222.6%14 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes19c689.28$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.3835145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed No67c668.66$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.662138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x170f…095bbacked Yes4c657.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes33c653.51$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.6610848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b5…a549backed Yes16c640.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+56.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes34c636.22$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.8864046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes34c631.45$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.692,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Yes35c606.72$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd72f…3465backed Yes35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes16c562.5$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905119.6%10 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes33c531$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.3333734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa163…2719backed Yes35c516.43$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.753554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No65c515.42$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.419255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16511120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5113…f0babacked Yes35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes4c475.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.631330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+211%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes35c451.66$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.0811342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdadf…0c4fbacked Yes35c435.39$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes26c433.16$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9517526.9%47 W · 128 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67a0…33e9backed Yes35c432.51$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.3820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes35c430$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.55451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes20c409.58$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010431.7%33 W · 71 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb75…79aabacked Yes35c407.82$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes35c405.43$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.949447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Yes10c400$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.62166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29dc…24e6backed Yes35c394.65$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa29c…74d9backed Yes35c373.55$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0d…dea7backed Yes34c370.85$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1262552%13 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No66c360$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5112951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89fe…8d55backed Yes36c350$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes32c340.92$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8110343.7%45 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2702…a103backed Yes33c339.69$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.361154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes34c337$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5883650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f9d…f2b3backed Yes31c322.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7eb8…902abacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x859f…e766backed Yes35c315.26$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014028.6%40 W · 100 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.