Tennis · resolved market
Cherbourg: Keegan Smith vs Matteo Martineau
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa42215b3d2a5fdf53a06bf24fd1d74a34fb848486e9d71985c5fefb0c38940a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matteo Martineauof Keegan Smith, Matteo Martineau
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,000 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Keegan Smith | 31c | 16,834$5,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,206.35 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Keegan Smith | 58c | 16,001$9,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,208.68 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…ee60backed Matteo Martineau | 55c | 9,046$5,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,031.48 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Keegan Smith | 63c | 5,942$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750.4 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Matteo Martineau | 64c | 3,644$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.39 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…f9a8backed Matteo Martineau | 29c | 3,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.51 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Matteo Martineau | 68c | 3,052$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.11 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Keegan Smith | 16c | 2,930$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Matteo Martineau | 36c | 2,479$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.95 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Matteo Martineau | 67c | 2,427$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.52 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Keegan Smith | 67c | 1,251$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.26 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Keegan Smith | 43c | 931.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Keegan Smith | 55c | 831.75$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.02 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a48…498cbacked Keegan Smith | 74c | 808.5$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Matteo Martineau | 44c | 691.99$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.26 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…98c3backed Matteo Martineau | 77c | 445$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Matteo Martineau | 42c | 444.41$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.89 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…3f91backed Matteo Martineau | 25c | 431.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.54 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Matteo Martineau | 25c | 420$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Matteo Martineau | 41c | 379.08$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.66 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Matteo Martineau | 41c | 376.65$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.22 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…f4cabacked Matteo Martineau | 34c | 358$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.85 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Keegan Smith | 55c | 351$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.75 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Keegan Smith | 58c | 345.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Keegan Smith | 71c | 336.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Matteo Martineau | 39c | 323.17$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.03 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Keegan Smith | 47c | 312$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.71 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…70ffbacked Matteo Martineau | 39c | 297.14$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.34 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Keegan Smith | 47c | 294$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.86 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Matteo Martineau | 27c | 291.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.67 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Keegan Smith | 55c | 282.51$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.97 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Keegan Smith | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Keegan Smith | 67c | 252.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.57 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Keegan Smith | 60c | 242.4$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.44 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Matteo Martineau | 48c | 225.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.81 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Matteo Martineau | 46c | 218.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.06 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Keegan Smith | 59c | 203.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Matteo Martineau | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Keegan Smith | 76c | 170$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Matteo Martineau | 40c | 160.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Keegan Smith | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Matteo Martineau | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Keegan Smith | 76c | 143.47$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Matteo Martineau | 45c | 139.34$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Keegan Smith | 42c | 137.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Matteo Martineau | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Keegan Smith | 71c | 121.95$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Matteo Martineau | 45c | 121.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 328 | 37.5%123 W · 205 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Matteo Martineau | 49c | 121.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d0…fa43backed Matteo Martineau | 31c | 121.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.67 | 108 | 32.4%35 W · 73 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Keegan Smith | 57c | 114.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Matteo Martineau | 42c | 113.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Matteo Martineau | 44c | 110.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Keegan Smith | 20c | 108.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db1…d726backed Matteo Martineau | 27c | 106.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Matteo Martineau | 38c | 105.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.53 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Matteo Martineau | 61c | 104.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Matteo Martineau | 40c | 104$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Keegan Smith | 75c | 101.2$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Keegan Smith | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Keegan Smith | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Keegan Smith | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…c927backed Matteo Martineau | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Matteo Martineau | 43c | 93.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Matteo Martineau | 42c | 93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Matteo Martineau | 43c | 91.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Matteo Martineau | 39c | 89.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Keegan Smith | 56c | 85.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Keegan Smith | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Keegan Smith | 77c | 76.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Keegan Smith | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Matteo Martineau | 31c | 61.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.37 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Matteo Martineau | 44c | 56.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Keegan Smith | 71c | 56.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Keegan Smith | 56c | 56.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Keegan Smith | 61c | 55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Matteo Martineau | 49c | 51.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Keegan Smith | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Keegan Smith | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 63.3%155 W · 90 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Keegan Smith | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…a1c1backed Matteo Martineau | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 226 | 42%95 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Keegan Smith | 62c | 49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 287 | 64.1%184 W · 103 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…05eabacked Keegan Smith | 78c | 44.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Keegan Smith | 71c | 44.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Keegan Smith | 76c | 41.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b8…692fbacked Keegan Smith | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Keegan Smith | 54c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Matteo Martineau | 69c | 37.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Keegan Smith | 71c | 36.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 476 | 49.6%236 W · 240 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad3c…41d6backed Keegan Smith | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Matteo Martineau | 42c | 35.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Keegan Smith | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Matteo Martineau | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 790 | 52.9%418 W · 372 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Matteo Martineau | 48c | 31.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Matteo Martineau | 46c | 27.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa255…2ffcbacked Keegan Smith | 75c | 27.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Matteo Martineau | 41c | 27.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Matteo Martineau | 48c | 26.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Keegan Smith | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 202 | 70.8%143 W · 59 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Keegan Smith | 60c | 26.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cherbourg: Keegan Smith vs Matteo Martineauthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Smith vs MartineauSmith won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.