TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cherbourg: Keegan Smith vs Matteo Martineau

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Matteo Martineauof Keegan Smith, Matteo Martineau
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,000

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,000 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Keegan Smith31c16,834$5,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,206.352,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Keegan Smith58c16,001$9,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,208.6835247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x713b…ee60backed Matteo Martineau55c9,046$5,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,031.485628.6%16 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Keegan Smith63c5,942$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,750.422553.8%121 W · 104 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Matteo Martineau64c3,644$2,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.392,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e1…f9a8backed Matteo Martineau29c3,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,448.519744.3%43 W · 54 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Matteo Martineau68c3,052$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.116,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Keegan Smith16c2,930$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46135344.8%158 W · 195 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Matteo Martineau36c2,479$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.952,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Matteo Martineau67c2,427$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.526,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Keegan Smith67c1,251$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.261,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Keegan Smith43c931.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40047946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Keegan Smith55c831.75$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.0240744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a48…498cbacked Keegan Smith74c808.5$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.29666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Matteo Martineau44c691.99$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.2643042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x974a…98c3backed Matteo Martineau77c445$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.352860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Matteo Martineau42c444.41$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.894,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cee…3f91backed Matteo Martineau25c431.54$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.549824.5%24 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Matteo Martineau25c420$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31561924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Matteo Martineau41c379.08$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.667,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Matteo Martineau41c376.65$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.221,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae5…f4cabacked Matteo Martineau34c358$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.855824.1%14 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Keegan Smith55c351$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.751,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Keegan Smith58c345.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Keegan Smith71c336.98$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24073458.6%430 W · 304 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Matteo Martineau39c323.17$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.0381349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Keegan Smith47c312$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.7137342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b6…70ffbacked Matteo Martineau39c297.14$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.3420352.2%106 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Keegan Smith47c294$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8673745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Matteo Martineau27c291.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.671,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Keegan Smith55c282.51$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9763247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Keegan Smith79c253.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Keegan Smith67c252.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.5743951.9%228 W · 211 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Keegan Smith60c242.4$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.441,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Matteo Martineau48c225.33$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.812,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Matteo Martineau46c218.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.0696035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Keegan Smith59c203.58$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Matteo Martineau53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Keegan Smith76c170$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.264065.9%422 W · 218 L+2.9wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Matteo Martineau40c160.9$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.861,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Keegan Smith60c160$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Matteo Martineau47c159.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5769350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Keegan Smith76c143.47$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0443062.3%268 W · 162 L-0.7wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Matteo Martineau45c139.34$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0424637.4%92 W · 154 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Keegan Smith42c137.65$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5867836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Matteo Martineau40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7566452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Keegan Smith71c121.95$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.12,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Matteo Martineau45c121.51$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5132837.5%123 W · 205 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Matteo Martineau49c121.48$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.341,41745.2%640 W · 777 L+41.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73d0…fa43backed Matteo Martineau31c121.26$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6710832.4%35 W · 73 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Keegan Smith57c114.89$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.252,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Matteo Martineau42c113.1$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.021,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Matteo Martineau44c110.88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.872,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaf5…41abbacked Keegan Smith20c108.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.92742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db1…d726backed Matteo Martineau27c106.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9711832.2%38 W · 80 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Matteo Martineau38c105.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.533,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Matteo Martineau61c104.67$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.836,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Matteo Martineau40c104$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.419634.2%67 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Keegan Smith75c101.2$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6842358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Keegan Smith60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Keegan Smith62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.577967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Keegan Smith55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5551539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f10…c927backed Matteo Martineau26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7410543.8%46 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Matteo Martineau43c93.66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3438147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Matteo Martineau42c93$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2199056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Matteo Martineau43c91.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9781933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Matteo Martineau39c89.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.926541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Keegan Smith56c85.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4829063.8%185 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Keegan Smith60c80$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4835040.9%143 W · 207 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Keegan Smith77c76.09$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4314541.4%60 W · 85 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Keegan Smith76c65.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023554.5%128 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Matteo Martineau31c61.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.377,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Matteo Martineau44c56.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9154434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Keegan Smith71c56.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3259954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Keegan Smith56c56.55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6712664.3%81 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Keegan Smith61c55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.362,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Matteo Martineau49c51.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.221,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Keegan Smith74c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3735559.4%211 W · 144 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Keegan Smith60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024563.3%155 W · 90 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Keegan Smith56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2869253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4739…a1c1backed Matteo Martineau27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.522642%95 W · 131 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1039…2914backed Keegan Smith62c49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3828764.1%184 W · 103 L+0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x680d…05eabacked Keegan Smith78c44.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6118659.7%111 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaec3…22dfbacked Keegan Smith71c44.35$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.491464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Keegan Smith76c41.02$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1815151.7%78 W · 73 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8b8…692fbacked Keegan Smith52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.941758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf69b…d240backed Keegan Smith54c39.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5916959.2%100 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Matteo Martineau69c37.07$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4343058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Keegan Smith71c36.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9347649.6%236 W · 240 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad3c…41d6backed Keegan Smith56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-48.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Matteo Martineau42c35.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.467,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc11d…421bbacked Keegan Smith61c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2910967%73 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Matteo Martineau69c32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1079052.9%418 W · 372 L+24.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Matteo Martineau48c31.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5217552.6%92 W · 83 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Matteo Martineau46c27.91$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9417458.6%102 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa255…2ffcbacked Keegan Smith75c27.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.83633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Matteo Martineau41c27.12$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.048639.5%34 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Matteo Martineau48c26.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0727546.5%128 W · 147 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Keegan Smith57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520270.8%143 W · 59 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Keegan Smith60c26.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.735967.8%40 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.