La Liga · resolved market
Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84a7055873b2a6521e27266ac7defa51f5a7e2128d08071ba129814906d9c0b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,291 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 33c | 6,796$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.52 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 16c | 5,922$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.5 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Under | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 67c | 2,509$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.81 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 67c | 1,991$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.04 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 35c | 1,114$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.9 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb7…c1acbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 27c | 970.29$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.65 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 67c | 566.18$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.84 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 20c | 534.3$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.06 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 17c | 273.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 34c | 139.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Under | 12c | 126.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…2281backed Over | 66c | 116.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 66c | 100.61$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3127…ff44backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 66c | 76.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 188 | 42%79 W · 109 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 66c | 70.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Under | 23c | 66.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 33c | 63.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 35c | 51.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Over | 67c | 50.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 34c | 45.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…fbb1backed Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 57cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked Over | 68c | 43.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4a…dd45backed Over | 66c | 35.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 35c | 33.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Over | 67c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 110 | 66.4%73 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 66c | 27.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa255…2ffcbacked Over | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Over | 78c | 18.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.