TailMyPicks
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,081

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,081 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf519…906bbacked Under62c5,486$3,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,401.3424147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over43c4,938$2,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,825.224,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under1c1,206$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.545520%11 W · 44 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under61c999.95$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.976645.5%30 W · 36 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6de0…f7f1backed Over66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under62c607.42$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37442851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over60c566.67$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.676937.7%26 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under36c562.45$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.4862258%361 W · 261 L+44.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over38c556.49$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.022,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under35c525.05$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2311839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under36c499.32$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.7434044.4%151 W · 189 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Over38c474.35$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.973040%12 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+44.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under61c463.41$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.6890843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over38c394.74$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.7417128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x140d…a937backed Over66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.031154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18364046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1866956.5%39 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under62c291$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.4235148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over39c275.21$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.887855.1%43 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under61c250$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.51,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Under6c241$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.415651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed Under14c214$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.126512.3%8 W · 57 L-0.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid+29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Under38c205.26$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7817731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over64c204.51$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7634050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Over65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004942.9%21 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+88.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6817458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Under61c186.42$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.715563.6%35 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over41c161.58$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958155.6%45 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under12c160$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.46412.5%8 W · 56 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Under12c160$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.49611.5%11 W · 85 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over65c152.31$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.319823.5%23 W · 75 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x125f…b7e8backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over38c140$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.822638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Under62c136.45$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.69347.3%44 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over42c134.84$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.611354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5816865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.588042.5%34 W · 46 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x231f…646fbacked Over66c121.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.21580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6015451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbc17…f3c4backed Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Under62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6211559.1%68 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612969%20 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Over39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5511741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4120…153dbacked Over38c99.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0419042.1%80 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1123…9e89backed Under62c96.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Under37c76$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.832638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Under62c64.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97c7…dddfbacked Over41c59.97$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.381163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under43c57.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over69c53.63$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6317466.1%115 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over39c51.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1328847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Over44c50.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Over38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.853551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.562744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1713760.6%83 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305940.7%24 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over38c49.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9630749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under61c48.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.341,04547.8%500 W · 545 L+15.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over38c46.49$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8220245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1c6…041abacked Over70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over38c41.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0827653.6%148 W · 128 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over67c41.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.776752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Under62c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Under62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.86453.1%34 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over38c39.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.476446.9%30 W · 34 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f2c…9374backed Under38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a90…2ff9backed Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under62c34.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5111855.9%66 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over38c33.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9212152.9%64 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under60c33.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.048229.3%24 W · 58 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Under62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208142%34 W · 47 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Under62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027055.2%149 W · 121 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…92e5backed Under63c31.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e24…24fbbacked Under63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203655.6%20 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.910843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.311066.4%73 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.624052.9%127 W · 113 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over38c29.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4641147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over66c29.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1311855.1%65 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under38c27.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.517339.7%29 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under61c25.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3889050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f7c…a489backed Over44c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142045%9 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b14…b151backed Under62c24.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under59c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.391,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over72c20.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.721,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51c3…7551backed Under62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.