La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7839bcd2363df40c6e30ad32b01666ef909e4a52fe7a37727cb9abd1bbaae7ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Deportivo Alavésof Valencia CF, Deportivo Alavés
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,695 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Valencia CF | 20c | 6,766$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.79 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…54cbbacked Deportivo Alavés | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Valencia CF | 5c | 934.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Deportivo Alavés | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Deportivo Alavés | 79c | 316.73$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Valencia CF | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5949…534bbacked Valencia CF | 21c | 245.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Deportivo Alavés | 79c | 210.91$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26e…921ebacked Valencia CF | 7c | 178$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Deportivo Alavés | 80c | 100.65$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Valencia CF | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07c2…f7d6backed Valencia CF | 21c | 71.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Valencia CF | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Deportivo Alavés | 80c | 36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Deportivo Alavés | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 95 | 71.6%68 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Deportivo Alavés | 80c | 24.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Deportivo Alavés | 79c | 20.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.