La Liga · resolved market
Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc626374f226a7ffef193843cf0cfb7b18d571e787360ec3962128bbc1b342d29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,935 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 11,678$8,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,078.64 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 30c | 3,300$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.68 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 18c | 2,383$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.46 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…c561backed Over | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 63c | 1,566$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.19 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…d148backed Under | 1c | 1,508$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 1,420$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.75 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Over | 27c | 999$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.27 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 26c | 961$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.14 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Over | 39c | 730.41$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.72 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57b5…a549backed Over | 31c | 674.19$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Under | 66c | 639.34$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 62c | 584.36$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.56 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 36c | 575.2$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.23 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Under | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 65 | 12.3%8 W · 57 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…4273backed Under | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c64…0d1fbacked Under | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…875bbacked Under | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Under | 9c | 399.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Over | 30c | 343$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 37c | 316.76$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.56 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Over | 41c | 304$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.34 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 30c | 303.68$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.68 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7537…801dbacked Under | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Under | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 25c | 264.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.88 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Over | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 13c | 221$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45bd…ddc3backed Over | 49c | 204.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 35c | 200.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.25 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 9c | 188.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 31c | 179.74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.02 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc194…f69fbacked Over | 19c | 165.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 11c | 160$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 11c | 160$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 96 | 11.5%11 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…67ebbacked Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 65c | 134.7$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.38 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 31c | 114$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 29c | 111$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 49c | 106.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 33c | 91.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 205 | 41.5%85 W · 120 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 37c | 81.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 40c | 75.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…2d07backed Over | 35c | 72.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 35c | 69.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 138 | 26.8%37 W · 101 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 33c | 62.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 65c | 58.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 69c | 58.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked Under | 67c | 56.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Over | 39c | 55.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +180.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 68c | 53.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 19c | 52.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 33c | 50.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Over | 37c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…77bfbacked Over | 41c | 48.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 72c | 48.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 460 | 40.9%188 W · 272 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562e…922bbacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…6e30backed Under | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…2f97backed Under | 65c | 38.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 41c | 37.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f84…6c38backed Over | 37c | 35.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +62%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…34b1backed Under | 71c | 33.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Under | 64c | 33.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 75c | 28.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a8…98a7backed Under | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df0…9a65backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b73…b96fbacked Under | 74c | 17.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.