La Liga · resolved market
Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x834a14fb92c84da6cf4075c49c69ff4d168722609590e9a2202c3a8633a70511
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,550 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 4,826$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.25 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 53c | 3,797$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.64 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Yes | 65c | 2,642$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.71 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 1,173$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.51 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Yes | 75c | 831.87$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.11 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b5…a549backed Yes | 47c | 716.32$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked No | 54c | 666$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.64 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 46c | 610.06$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.48 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 46c | 522.87$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.35 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Yes | 74c | 499.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked No | 54c | 469.83$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.71 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 54c | 460$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 23c | 434.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf07c…9a72backed Yes | 77c | 371.47$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 34c | 354.42$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.85 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 53c | 299.9$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.95 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed No | 54c | 274$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.12 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…8526backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +7.0wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 46c | 161$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 69c | 145.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 77c | 144.44$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 47c | 126.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Yes | 46c | 107.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…8668backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 55c | 81.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…aacbbacked Yes | 47c | 76.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed No | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 47c | 72.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…fbb1backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 57cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…afe2backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked No | 53c | 58.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 73c | 56.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 55c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a53…8177backed Yes | 47c | 43.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x097b…cc19backed No | 54c | 43.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa506…f93bbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 73c | 42.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8b…ebb0backed Yes | 47c | 42.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…9868backed Yes | 47c | 41.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0d…c0f6backed No | 54c | 40.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 41c | 39.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2e…59e2backed No | 54c | 38.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc838…fe97backed Yes | 47c | 37.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Yes | 76c | 35.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…f0f4backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a9…e441backed No | 54c | 28.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…8b8cbacked Yes | 47c | 28.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f9…7196backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…f856backed Yes | 47c | 24.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 53c | 21.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.