NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69067801df1ee8a1a9188ee6b61203dc682e5d2b5965150f8da285d031f9f2d0

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Thunder, Timberwolves
Resolved: Mar 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $272,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,245 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Thunder	50c	66,253$32,982 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,271.08	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves	51c	32,513$16,626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,626.14	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder	52c	25,113$13,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,078.27	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Timberwolves	47c	21,300$10,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,010.99	114	43.9%50 W · 64 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder	50c	20,634$10,245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,389.07	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Timberwolves	49c	20,408$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder	49c	17,920$8,696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,224.52	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves	51c	14,399$7,336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,335.78	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Timberwolves	49c	13,977$6,849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,848.73	316	43.4%137 W · 179 L	-18.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd215…6f82backed Timberwolves	50c	13,860$6,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,930	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Thunder	37c	10,000$3,698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,302.32	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Timberwolves	54c	9,755$5,251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,250.83	265	44.9%119 W · 146 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Thunder	51c	8,128$4,144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,983.51	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Thunder	52c	7,692$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,692.31	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Thunder	49c	7,296$3,575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,721.21	173	48.6%84 W · 89 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Timberwolves	56c	7,142$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,999.52	170	50%85 W · 85 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed Timberwolves	55c	7,056$3,881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,880.97	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Thunder	48c	6,855$3,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,544.68	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves	60c	6,672$4,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,019.75	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Timberwolves	50c	6,400$3,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,196	50	30%15 W · 35 L	-6.0wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ccf…6ed9backed Timberwolves	51c	6,003$3,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,060.01	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.34per pick	51cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder	49c	6,000$2,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,059.99	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Timberwolves	48c	5,719$2,745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,745.11	94	40.4%38 W · 56 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves	51c	5,426$2,778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,778.27	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Thunder	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc825…4530backed Timberwolves	49c	4,082$1,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999	42	31%13 W · 29 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Timberwolves	49c	3,731$1,828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,828	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Timberwolves	55c	2,619$1,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,441.38	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Timberwolves	50c	2,490$1,245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,244.95	99	52.5%52 W · 47 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves	54c	2,390$1,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,279.57	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7f4…c48fbacked Timberwolves	50c	2,328$1,164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,164	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Timberwolves	49c	2,326$1,146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,146.31	475	42.3%201 W · 274 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Thunder	46c	2,174$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,173.92	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Timberwolves	49c	2,137$1,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,047	173	56.1%97 W · 76 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves	49c	2,040$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.6	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9738…114abacked Thunder	51c	1,952$996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$956.48	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48ab…0dedbacked Timberwolves	49c	1,921$941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$941.29	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f03…2eb3backed Timberwolves	49c	1,912$937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$936.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe833…1efcbacked Thunder	51c	1,770$903 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$867.3	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Thunder	52c	1,731$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$830.77	91	59.3%54 W · 37 L	+5.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf2a…426cbacked Timberwolves	49c	1,615$791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$791.35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Timberwolves	52c	1,600$832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$832	102	51%52 W · 50 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Timberwolves	50c	1,492$746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$746	105	56.2%59 W · 46 L	+8.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves	52c	1,422$736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735.75	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13ea…ca65backed Thunder	51c	1,394$711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$683.06	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder	50c	1,297$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$647.2	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Thunder	45c	1,184$533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$651	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Timberwolves	49c	1,080$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.15	169	53.3%90 W · 79 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Timberwolves	53c	1,074$569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569	288	38.2%110 W · 178 L	-17.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe545…a2c4backed Thunder	46c	1,052$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$568.17	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Timberwolves	49c	1,020$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	173	49.7%86 W · 87 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Timberwolves	49c	1,016$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.81	241	51%123 W · 118 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ca…f4ecbacked Thunder	51c	1,001$511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490.49	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Timberwolves	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	320	51.9%166 W · 154 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Timberwolves	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bc…2450backed Timberwolves	53c	951.94$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+2.4wins	+0.13per pick	29cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves	53c	879.12$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.1	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Timberwolves	49c	841$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.09	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Timberwolves	50c	784$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48e4…6d1dbacked Timberwolves	49c	770$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.3	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Timberwolves	47c	702.75$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.29	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Timberwolves	48c	699.98$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.99	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9175…d70fbacked Timberwolves	54c	643.52$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.5	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.6wins	+0.20per pick	42cpaid	+183%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Thunder	51c	640.18$326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.19	358	49.7%178 W · 180 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Timberwolves	55c	629.33$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.13	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeba5…026abacked Thunder	51c	615$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.35	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa09d…1bc8backed Timberwolves	49c	600$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Thunder	53c	600$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282	74	54.1%40 W · 34 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Timberwolves	52c	573$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.96	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Timberwolves	41c	569.85$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.65	258	40.7%105 W · 153 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd71…14aebacked Thunder	51c	569$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.81	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Timberwolves	53c	542.1$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.31	378	42.9%162 W · 216 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Thunder	50c	522.01$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.05	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed9…8bdcbacked Timberwolves	49c	510.2$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	60cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58dc…59e4backed Timberwolves	49c	510.2$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	65	38.5%25 W · 40 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4271…8ddabacked Timberwolves	49c	483$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.67	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x894d…7293backed Timberwolves	48c	480.69$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.73	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	29cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Thunder	46c	434.78$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.78	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Thunder	58c	429.71$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.71	111	58.6%65 W · 46 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Thunder	47c	426$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.78	176	44.9%79 W · 97 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Thunder	46c	425.99$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.04	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Timberwolves	48c	416.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	284	48.2%137 W · 147 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd48…e421backed Timberwolves	49c	408.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	302	42.1%127 W · 175 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Timberwolves	50c	386$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Thunder	47c	370$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.1	775	49.2%381 W · 394 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Thunder	51c	340.34$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.11	576	50%288 W · 288 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Timberwolves	58c	326.81$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.43	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15dc…831fbacked Timberwolves	51c	318.33$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.37	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Thunder	50c	314.84$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.13	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Timberwolves	67c	298$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.17	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Thunder	48c	292.05$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.88	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Thunder	51c	274.27$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.27	521	46.6%243 W · 278 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5f9…cc6dbacked Thunder	70c	271.06$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.06	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Timberwolves	59c	260.71$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.35	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Thunder	51c	258$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.42	96	57.3%55 W · 41 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Timberwolves	57c	255.81$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.81	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Thunder	47c	255.32$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.32	234	46.2%108 W · 126 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc0d…78a5backed Timberwolves	53c	252.87$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.02	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-6.5wins	-0.17per pick	49cpaid	-36%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Thunder	50c	240$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves	48c	234.59$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.41	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Timberwolves won
Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 11.5No won
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5No won
Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 9.5No won
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
Timberwolves vs. ThunderThunder won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event