TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,681

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,681 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3c75…329abacked Over50c10,158$5,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,078.855750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ba…19e5backed Under47c4,855$2,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,573.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb510…d37ebacked Over54c4,522$2,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,445.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d9…b92bbacked Under46c4,300$1,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a5…7a90backed Under47c3,988$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,113.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ea…5245backed Under47c3,707$1,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05a6…9bdabacked Under46c3,445$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2708…3fbdbacked Over54c3,223$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3462…c857backed Over54c3,032$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c2,865$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.514,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x003b…23f8backed Under47c2,855$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf74e…184abacked Over53c2,455$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe703…d45ebacked Over53c2,416$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc046…ba92backed Under47c2,415$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.954100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56fb…ea07backed Under46c2,332$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3885…c956backed Over53c2,315$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b3…a246backed Over53c2,302$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd12a…3ff0backed Over54c2,285$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb63…12babacked Under47c2,266$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabbf…15b7backed Under47c2,233$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…c964backed Over53c2,205$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4523…cf6abacked Under46c2,158$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09e8…c939backed Under46c2,128$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4cd…3ea4backed Over53c2,121$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1b8…ad22backed Under46c2,114$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ae…650dbacked Under47c2,086$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8af…1572backed Over53c2,066$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e66…16b0backed Under47c2,038$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Under50c2,020$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01021549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdef1…cd61backed Over53c2,020$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b41…e936backed Over53c2,011$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc79e…03a7backed Over54c2,001$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe218…5bdfbacked Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c6…942bbacked Over53c1,936$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x363e…1b97backed Under47c1,933$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1379…882abacked Over54c1,902$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8dc…29afbacked Over54c1,902$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Under47c1,900$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0079629.2%28 W · 68 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1baf…a3c6backed Over53c1,900$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e37…16febacked Under46c1,885$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50c1…0af9backed Under46c1,830$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x998e…236dbacked Over53c1,828$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5da3…fcf7backed Under47c1,828$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e6…6e64backed Over53c1,825$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x263a…bbcebacked Over53c1,755$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39f…3acbbacked Under47c1,737$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.612100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eaa…385cbacked Under47c1,633$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb265…6169backed Over53c1,622$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x983c…4ebbbacked Over53c1,616$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.48425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9fc…9ea7backed Under47c1,610$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf50f…165dbacked Under47c1,599$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d57…844fbacked Under47c1,566$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1072…42dbbacked Over53c1,423$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.19250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2914…a646backed Over53c1,378$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b00…00cdbacked Over54c1,325$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over53c1,307$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.289,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa57…71e6backed Over53c1,273$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under45c1,250$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.569149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c1,225$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.692,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under57c1,186$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.661,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x092c…5197backed Over53c1,145$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe166…7010backed Under47c1,144$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over53c1,009$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.573,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1045…ec8abacked Under47c914.83$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d04…b59cbacked Over53c900$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under47c633.19$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.5971449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over30c539.53$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.612,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under70c514.29$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.2965872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27580737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over44c486.28$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.2525840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over49c431.13$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.2533150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Under49c410.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.8514549%71 W · 74 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Under66c379.71$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.714438.6%17 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x56c2…6982backed Over36c376.01$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c365.73$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.694,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Over43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12927435.4%97 W · 177 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under50c292$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.551,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over26c282.71$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.681,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c280.02$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.015,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under43c222.13$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.394,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a4…6bdbbacked Over55c210$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.55932.2%19 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c208.42$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.213,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x00c7…76ffbacked Under47c203$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7277549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10045146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cdc…60a4backed Under47c199$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.472564%16 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019950.8%101 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under55c164.44$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4495452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb494…b0a5backed Under47c162$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over57c161.75$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.62,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda0a…4a68backed Under47c156$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e7d…13ccbacked Over53c151$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc991…e246backed Over53c144$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddbd…e738backed Over52c143.61$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.387443.2%32 W · 42 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under51c136.97$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1239943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8797…9ab7backed Under47c124$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0820…08febacked Over53c115$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac6d…9ed0backed Over53c112$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under51c111.3$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.813,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under46c108.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.692,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.