NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Thunder

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3b68f12b7179613c37104625fc0b0f5902ba750817a05e7a7de32a1e9d08b30

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Timberwolves, Thunder
Resolved: Mar 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,506,835

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,506,835 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Timberwolves	24c	104,167$25,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,000	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Timberwolves	27c	87,959$24,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,014.49	170	50%85 W · 85 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Timberwolves	25c	85,324$21,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,272.24	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Thunder	58c	78,700$45,646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,054.08	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Thunder	76c	65,789$50,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,789.36	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Timberwolves	21c	63,399$13,623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,622.97	117	37.6%44 W · 73 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Timberwolves	26c	61,631$16,223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,223.28	196	45.9%90 W · 106 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Thunder	73c	50,102$36,653 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,449.36	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder	72c	49,769$35,632 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,136.93	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Thunder	77c	45,284$34,803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,481.39	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Timberwolves	44c	38,120$16,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,631.74	168	48.2%81 W · 87 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Thunder	75c	36,474$27,501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,972.57	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Timberwolves	23c	31,500$7,236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,236.07	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Timberwolves	32c	30,150$9,630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,630.27	96	29.2%28 W · 68 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Thunder	77c	28,743$22,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,725.7	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder	75c	25,510$19,199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,311.48	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Thunder	76c	25,000$19,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,999.99	176	46%81 W · 95 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…b386backed Timberwolves	23c	24,733$5,754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,754.24	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	+4.2wins	+0.11per pick	35cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves	27c	24,566$6,577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,577.12	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Timberwolves	0c	23,860$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.86	103	48.5%50 W · 53 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Timberwolves	21c	21,831$4,664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,664.3	50	30%15 W · 35 L	-6.0wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Thunder	74c	21,083$15,604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,478.71	209	47.8%100 W · 109 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed Timberwolves	24c	20,656$4,957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,957.38	144	50.7%73 W · 71 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder	76c	20,385$15,492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,892.66	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Timberwolves	21c	20,081$4,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,260.23	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Timberwolves	40c	20,000$8,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,999.98	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Timberwolves	24c	20,000$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,799.95	90	18.9%17 W · 73 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Timberwolves	42c	19,973$8,389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,388.66	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Timberwolves	23c	19,821$4,619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,618.72	232	57.8%134 W · 98 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Timberwolves	24c	18,871$4,529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,529.14	248	31.9%79 W · 169 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x079e…8254backed Thunder	60c	18,000$10,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,200	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Timberwolves	32c	17,033$5,378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,378.47	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Thunder	78c	16,915$13,239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,675.67	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Timberwolves	33c	16,909$5,628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,627.71	313	45%141 W · 172 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Timberwolves	33c	16,231$5,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,383.86	82	25.6%21 W · 61 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Timberwolves	24c	16,170$3,881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,880.77	355	47.3%168 W · 187 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Timberwolves	42c	15,750$6,615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,615	107	43%46 W · 61 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves	36c	15,349$5,558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,558.19	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder	68c	15,012$10,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,831.27	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Timberwolves	48c	15,000$7,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,200	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Timberwolves	3c	14,221$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.91	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Timberwolves	3c	13,922$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.85	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Timberwolves	23c	13,650$3,139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,139.5	114	43.9%50 W · 64 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Timberwolves	19c	13,440$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Timberwolves	22c	12,111$2,664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,664.49	618	51.6%319 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b52…724abacked Timberwolves	23c	12,000$2,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,760	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Timberwolves	28c	11,962$3,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,332.05	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Timberwolves	23c	11,739$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,700	128	44.5%57 W · 71 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ea…6e4ebacked Thunder	75c	11,485$8,606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,878.91	161	46%74 W · 87 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Timberwolves	1c	10,316$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.85	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Thunder	74c	10,313$7,617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,695.73	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Thunder	74c	10,000$7,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,600	106	41.5%44 W · 62 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2698…0958backed Timberwolves	17c	10,000$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Timberwolves	27c	9,748$2,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,632	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Thunder	60c	9,740$5,819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,920.94	241	51.9%125 W · 116 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Timberwolves	42c	9,524$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Thunder	70c	9,074$6,353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,720.84	263	53.6%141 W · 122 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3846…9742backed Thunder	73c	9,000$6,570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,430	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb624…de17backed Timberwolves	17c	8,662$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76cb…55d3backed Timberwolves	24c	8,416$2,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,002.34	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Thunder	59c	7,908$4,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,258.14	478	56.5%270 W · 208 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Thunder	75c	7,900$5,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,975	433	52.2%226 W · 207 L	+19.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Timberwolves	24c	7,729$1,883 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,882.98	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Timberwolves	31c	7,205$2,231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,231.08	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Thunder	73c	7,144$5,229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,915.07	293	52.6%154 W · 139 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+26%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Timberwolves	23c	7,100$1,633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,633	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46bc…2d14backed Timberwolves	15c	7,054$1,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026.5	189	31.2%59 W · 130 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4e…e5b7backed Thunder	77c	7,000$5,390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,610	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.18per pick	53cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x853e…0d8cbacked Timberwolves	25c	6,999$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,749.76	120	42.5%51 W · 69 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Thunder	78c	6,900$5,382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,518	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Timberwolves	23c	6,700$1,541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,541.09	175	54.9%96 W · 79 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Timberwolves	26c	6,666$1,733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,733.16	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…0f2bbacked Timberwolves	28c	6,365$1,810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,809.58	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Timberwolves	1c	6,260$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.19	679	11%75 W · 604 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Timberwolves	12c	6,000$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	354	44.6%158 W · 196 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Timberwolves	23c	6,000$1,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,379.99	120	45%54 W · 66 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Timberwolves	24c	5,952$1,407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,406.58	621	44%273 W · 348 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Timberwolves	27c	5,922$1,580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,579.72	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder	74c	5,846$4,331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,515.2	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa491…3177backed Thunder	77c	5,840$4,497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,343.19	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7792…b63bbacked Thunder	77c	5,800$4,466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,334	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d1…553ebacked Timberwolves	23c	5,800$1,334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,333.95	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb425…c80bbacked Thunder	79c	5,765$4,547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,217.5	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a84…ffbbbacked Thunder	70c	5,683$3,984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,698.91	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	-9.9wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves	35c	5,639$1,967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,966.77	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc825…4530backed Timberwolves	19c	5,372$997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.1	42	31%13 W · 29 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Timberwolves	45c	5,261$2,362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,362.28	98	38.8%38 W · 60 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves	23c	5,234$1,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,210.32	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Thunder	71c	5,129$3,618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,510.94	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Timberwolves	9c	5,023$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430	341	36.1%123 W · 218 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Timberwolves	0c	5,009$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.86	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder	75c	5,007$3,741 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,265.53	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked Thunder	77c	5,000$3,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,150	122	51.6%63 W · 59 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Timberwolves	1c	5,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Thunder	78c	5,000$3,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,100	48	68.8%33 W · 15 L	+3.3wins	+0.07per pick	62cpaid	+14%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Thunder	77c	5,000$3,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,150	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0206…479fbacked Thunder	77c	5,000$3,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,150	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	33cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Thunder	77c	5,000$3,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,150	204	54.9%112 W · 92 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Timberwolves	22c	5,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,099.96	470	43.8%206 W · 264 L	-22.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Timberwolves	32c	4,944$1,577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,577.03	475	42.3%201 W · 274 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Timberwolves vs. Thunderthis page
1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Timberwolves won
Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 11.5No won
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5No won
Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 9.5No won
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Timberwolves vs. Thunder

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event