TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

La Velada del Año 6: Marta Díaz vs. Tatiana Käer

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Díazof Díaz, Käer
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,018
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,823

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,018 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x53ab…65aabacked Díaz65c871.67$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.612552%13 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec2f…deecbacked Käer37c813.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Díaz64c804.8$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.92352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Díaz60c794.73$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.83742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad9a…c3f4backed Käer35c770.25$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d1…64a7backed Díaz63c606.61$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.62757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8224…7384backed Käer44c573.65$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Käer36c438.12$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-43.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x027a…ea13backed Díaz73c412.72$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.451457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Díaz63c400$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+35.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4669…a7b8backed Käer24c345.19$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.13520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-74.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55b9…3f67backed Díaz58c309.98$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a22…e365backed Díaz66c303.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4767…6dafbacked Käer37c267.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-67.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa21f…b08fbacked Díaz63c259.99$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d7…4952backed Díaz58c250$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x252f…a065backed Käer40c248.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda31…f8acbacked Käer43c232.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e2a…25cebacked Käer44c226.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b25…7a69backed Käer38c221.95$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-77.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4da5…21aabacked Díaz68c218.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.994100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2f6…60bfbacked Käer46c218.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e1…85fbbacked Käer37c216.71$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd84d…cc32backed Käer9c211.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.35862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Käer39c209.79$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.821435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Díaz63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed Käer40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Díaz76c173.11$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-40%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76d…3e8ebacked Díaz61c171.05$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.91977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f74…475dbacked Käer41c170.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ce9…520bbacked Díaz63c164.93$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x281f…3e7ebacked Díaz63c160$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Käer38c160$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2b3…9aeabacked Díaz63c159.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.37450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked Díaz63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+57.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ea8…9e5fbacked Käer39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Käer36c148.76$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.51616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-71.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0806…4adabacked Käer37c144.56$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.23650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2525…b919backed Díaz77c143.64$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.81540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-47.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Díaz63c136.24$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.782339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed Díaz63c133$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.21850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefcc…14c3backed Käer37c128.65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked Käer43c115.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb35c…33c8backed Käer44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Käer43c112.91$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc790…93a7backed Díaz63c103.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.17650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc345…8e8cbacked Díaz61c103.06$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb37a…f1b1backed Díaz54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32fd…44d0backed Käer40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdec2…b015backed Käer40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x575f…9287backed Käer37c99.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f73…667dbacked Díaz60c99.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.385100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5141…7346backed Käer37c98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.34714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-67.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa381…2961backed Käer49c96.27$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd915…e3f7backed Käer37c95.84$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-60.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Käer38c92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.964839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f9c…78debacked Díaz63c86.13$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Díaz62c81.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.07650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef1d…095dbacked Díaz62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.65580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc916…e32ebacked Käer36c80$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad10…c665backed Díaz55c78.63$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.38742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd392…9a8abacked Käer45c78.3$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x673a…e805backed Käer38c78.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Käer40c77.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.841942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fd9…c6aabacked Käer44c77.27$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb69c…48e7backed Díaz69c76.3$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2553…59f7backed Díaz66c75.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5250…448fbacked Käer40c75.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f8…88d8backed Käer38c71.05$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa224…2dc7backed Käer36c70.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Díaz63c70.27$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Käer44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-60.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Díaz61c68.15$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.37862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Díaz70c66.96$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.967100%7 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x04ba…85e5backed Díaz77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.94666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-9.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ba4…26b5backed Käer44c64.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.34520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-71%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d5a…917ebacked Käer40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92a7…eb78backed Käer38c61.42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb078…289ebacked Díaz70c57.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.11540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38f5…6824backed Käer41c54.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x729d…248ebacked Käer39c53.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49b8…1417backed Käer38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcca0…3738backed Käer39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Käer38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32c5…adc9backed Díaz64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b69…4350backed Käer40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked Käer41c47.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe733…f6c9backed Díaz64c46.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.873100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x045c…5861backed Käer35c43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.05666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf46e…ab0cbacked Díaz60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddff…cea1backed Käer43c41.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.63250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ce…3f1dbacked Díaz62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Käer38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Díaz60c39.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aeb…277fbacked Díaz60c39.66$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01cf…140dbacked Díaz62c38.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.71366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcce5…afb0backed Käer39c38.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1736…321bbacked Díaz67c37.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…2858backed Käer35c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.25100%0 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9583…fa5dbacked Käer31c34.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.840%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.