La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba7ab705455871e36455c017900ff652cfd5e9ea2a2dc797d42a87daebcfe9b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 16c | 15,170$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked No | 51c | 2,650$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.19 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 47c | 2,324$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.73 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 10c | 1,897$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 58c | 1,642$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.89 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 49c | 1,463$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.67 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…906bbacked Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 77c | 753.04$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.85 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 50c | 653.3$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.55 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 46c | 623.33$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.73 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 47c | 529.15$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.45 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Yes | 22c | 507.14$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 53c | 462.26$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 56c | 356.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.86 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecf5…6e26backed Yes | 12c | 349.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 51c | 321.66$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.61 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 36c | 304.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…3287backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 52c | 297.62$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.76 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 39c | 205$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 192.74$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.86 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…24c5backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 44c | 175.57$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.32 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…4871backed Yes | 50c | 156.02$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…ce9bbacked Yes | 52c | 152.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 48c | 148.22$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b2…4171backed No | 52c | 147.83$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 56c | 146.46$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.02 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 50c | 137.07$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 128.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 32c | 128.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…b1c6backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 51c | 84.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 44c | 80.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d92…68e8backed Yes | 56c | 79.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 25c | 68.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 61c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 59c | 54.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +14.3wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…feb3backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 54c | 52.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…fa11backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Yes | 49c | 47.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 56c | 46.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 44c | 46.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 35c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 37c | 40.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba4…26b5backed Yes | 53c | 37.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Yes | 46c | 35.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2a…f565backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 49c | 29.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 53c | 26.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f25…4952backed No | 77c | 26.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 48c | 23.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No | 46c | 23.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed No | 78c | 21.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-24?this page
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón vs. UD Almería end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-05-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.