England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb22501ffce04e5a029bcc79ebb9e6a534cc676677c1354e29d29e3adfd08f46

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $8,048,744
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $8,121,403

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,048,744 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,857 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	63c	1,194,893$756,557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$756,556.67	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over	39c	903,826$351,685 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$552,140.99	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b4e…0232backed Under	60c	638,543$381,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381,454.21	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe221…06f6backed Over	39c	517,777$201,544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316,233.08	82	46.3%38 W · 44 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x669d…c044backed Over	37c	500,000$183,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316,249.86	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	23cpaid	-69.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e25…d49ebacked Under	61c	499,886$303,681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303,680.54	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+20%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under	60c	446,537$269,682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269,682.03	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Over	40c	400,000$158,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241,500	178	40.4%72 W · 106 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under	61c	376,230$229,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229,189.71	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	39c	274,322$107,962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166,360.68	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Over	39c	250,000$98,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151,874.98	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb5f…2e21backed Over	39c	232,033$91,261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140,772.69	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.24per pick	36cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Over	39c	192,068$74,921 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117,147.08	139	59.7%83 W · 56 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	2c	188,905$3,278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,277.98	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under	61c	179,010$108,748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108,748.49	320	31.6%101 W · 219 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x169d…a85ebacked Over	39c	171,725$67,402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104,322.9	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.19per pick	61cpaid	+49.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under	61c	150,066$91,307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91,307.27	270	39.6%107 W · 163 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under	62c	148,148$91,585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91,584.93	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	67c	123,166$82,783 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82,782.75	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x954d…6f01backed Under	60c	95,057$56,559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56,558.99	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+2.4wins	+0.22per pick	33cpaid	+95.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked Over	39c	91,124$35,766 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55,357.83	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	63c	89,758$56,426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56,426.4	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over	39c	86,651$34,011 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,640.48	210	29%61 W · 149 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Over	39c	81,000$31,547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,452.47	81	35.8%29 W · 52 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under	62c	80,383$50,227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,226.76	137	42.3%58 W · 79 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Under	62c	79,799$49,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,101.58	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-40%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked Under	67c	76,850$51,639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51,638.75	74	47.3%35 W · 39 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x533c…2658backed Under	61c	70,000$42,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,700	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under	61c	59,023$36,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,083.99	264	47.7%126 W · 138 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over	37c	54,456$20,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,055.36	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under	61c	51,329$31,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,221.47	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	39c	50,000$19,625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,375	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under	61c	50,000$30,375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,375	174	47.1%82 W · 92 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	25c	49,506$12,424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,081.85	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f90…21fabacked Under	64c	43,833$28,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,026.2	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+3.8wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Over	39c	40,764$16,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,764.13	98	46.9%46 W · 52 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Over	39c	40,000$15,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,300	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under	61c	40,000$24,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,300	71	63.4%45 W · 26 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under	61c	39,781$24,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,169.49	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Over	39c	39,000$15,113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,887.5	137	25.5%35 W · 102 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under	60c	37,000$22,358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,358.03	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a86…4998backed Over	26c	36,149$9,244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,905.21	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+3.3wins	+0.33per pick	27cpaid	+97.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under	61c	30,458$18,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,485.1	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	40c	30,000$11,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,149.96	592	30.1%178 W · 414 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	35c	29,793$10,504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,288.42	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under	61c	29,600$17,964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,964.02	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5461…c1adbacked Over	40c	28,227$11,182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,044.97	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	67c	26,721$17,941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,941.08	268	41.8%112 W · 156 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under	63c	26,357$16,624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,623.7	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Over	36c	26,183$9,413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,770.28	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf689…9d83backed Over	38c	26,144$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,143.79	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under	75c	25,101$18,862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,861.72	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under	60c	25,055$15,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,155.61	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Over	39c	25,000$9,687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,312.49	41	78%32 W · 9 L	+5.0wins	+0.12per pick	66cpaid	+35%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed Over	17c	25,000$4,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,749.98	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0a9…e390backed Over	39c	24,130$9,531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,598.48	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.20per pick	51cpaid	+43.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	31c	23,433$7,173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,260.74	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	74c	22,718$16,714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,713.61	306	26.5%81 W · 225 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over	25c	20,843$5,211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,632.46	425	41.6%177 W · 248 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over	30c	20,761$6,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,471.59	565	41.1%232 W · 333 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fae…4079backed Over	38c	20,000$7,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,350	68	33.8%23 W · 45 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28aa…28f5backed Over	37c	20,000$7,425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,574.97	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	61c	19,543$11,827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,826.67	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d9d…3c52backed Under	63c	18,525$11,717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,717.06	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under	61c	18,000$10,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,890.26	406	55.7%226 W · 180 L	+17.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	61c	17,789$10,874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,873.67	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b51…ad13backed Under	60c	16,736$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Over	39c	16,548$6,510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,037.77	195	29.7%58 W · 137 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Under	61c	16,461$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	104	57.7%60 W · 44 L	+10.2wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Under	61c	16,408$10,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,077.02	132	59.1%78 W · 54 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc229…1b74backed Over	40c	16,045$6,338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,707.45	88	58%51 W · 37 L	+10.4wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Over	38c	16,000$6,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,880	145	53.8%78 W · 67 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under	47c	15,861$7,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,382.39	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked Over	38c	15,513$5,934 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,579	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Over	25c	15,444$3,901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,543.05	217	38.7%84 W · 133 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d4d…6be9backed Over	39c	15,000$5,888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,112.5	16	81.3%13 W · 3 L	+6.2wins	+0.39per pick	43cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under	63c	14,951$9,381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,380.53	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed Under	64c	14,677$9,341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,340.84	102	51%52 W · 50 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	60c	13,260$7,986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,985.59	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa45f…4e8dbacked Under	62c	13,250$8,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,148.75	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under	75c	13,246$9,985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,985.42	413	31%128 W · 285 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over	39c	12,755$5,036 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,719.07	144	45.8%66 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over	40c	12,658$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,658.23	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb11c…db67backed Over	47c	12,579$5,882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,696.74	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x897b…a2b7backed Over	39c	12,372$4,856 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,515.89	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	61c	12,352$7,483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,482.9	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e20…39dabacked Over	40c	11,360$4,544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,815.82	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over	39c	11,046$4,253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,793.27	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under	61c	10,400$6,297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,296.93	474	42.8%203 W · 271 L	-14.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over	37c	10,275$3,843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,432.08	396	44.7%177 W · 219 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under	61c	10,000$6,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,075.01	207	24.6%51 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Under	80c	10,000$7,975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,975	82	58.5%48 W · 34 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Over	40c	10,000$4,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,974.99	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+3.3wins	+0.37per pick	30cpaid	+95.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Under	61c	10,000$6,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,049.89	87	43.7%38 W · 49 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under	73c	9,999$7,296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,296.47	185	43.8%81 W · 104 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	40c	9,974$3,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,034.52	454	28%127 W · 327 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9441…98babacked Over	16c	9,481$1,476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,005.31	35	20%7 W · 28 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	61c	9,206$5,605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,605.11	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Over	39c	9,000$3,465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,535	250	38.8%97 W · 153 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Under	62c	8,907$5,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,500	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5this page
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)England won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)England won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)England won
Spread: England (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-3.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-4.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-5.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event