Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9efac74b6362eef106388425bf5ed5f74cdb7ec08043d12e5ef04dffd43759b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 60c | 22,475$13,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,990.07 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 21,149$8,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,457.83 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.96 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…8018backed Over | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 59c | 1,461$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.48 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…da6ebacked Over | 41c | 1,100$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 8c | 617$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Over | 6c | 512.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf28…b40ebacked Over | 4c | 499.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb5…11babacked Over | 41c | 374.05$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.36 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 40c | 307.65$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.06 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 40c | 273.68$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.47 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…a35dbacked Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…4191backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked Over | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 329 | 28%92 W · 237 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 40c | 248.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 652 | 53.8%351 W · 301 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 41c | 245$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 197 | 13.7%27 W · 170 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 41c | 199.4$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 60c | 158.91$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 59c | 128.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 287 | 47%135 W · 152 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 41c | 120.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b5…ff50backed Over | 19c | 80.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Under | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 462 | 47.6%220 W · 242 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Over | 40c | 75.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x633a…844dbacked Over | 40c | 74.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6d…9ca1backed Over | 41c | 70.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Under | 60c | 68.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Under | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 618 | 55.3%342 W · 276 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Under | 61c | 44.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…7f7fbacked Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Under | 58c | 39.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 40c | 39.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf97d…a55ebacked Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 40c | 35.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 427 | 55.5%237 W · 190 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf55…6c88backed Over | 41c | 32.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…3a9cbacked Over | 40c | 31.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked Over | 41c | 31.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 40c | 25.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba4d…3d0dbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9239…0c62backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2153backed Under | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Under | 59c | 17.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
- England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)England won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)England won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)England won
- Spread: England (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: England (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: England (-3.5)Argentina won
- Spread: England (-4.5)Argentina won
- Spread: England (-5.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.