England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd644383789c99ed39ea87726de0d816471a891cb26e485c491282510093f9614

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $137,850
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $133,688

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,850 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x325f…4511backed Over	2c	9,222$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.96	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over	9c	7,000$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	10c	6,216$622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$621.63	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	10c	3,717$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.7	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over	5c	2,696$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.44	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Over	10c	2,500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over	10c	2,500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	167	47.3%79 W · 88 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	7c	2,361$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.95	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	5c	2,344$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.6	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7238…c31fbacked Over	10c	2,181$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.82	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	154	41.6%64 W · 90 L	+12.7wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x92c1…244dbacked Over	3c	1,914$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.57	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+4.6wins	+0.20per pick	41cpaid	+51.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9333…3067backed Over	5c	1,891$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over	2c	1,761$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.24	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over	9c	1,667$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	674	47.6%321 W · 353 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	9c	1,529$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.24	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9337…a410backed Over	2c	1,500$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	118	11.9%14 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	6c	1,318$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.71	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over	4c	998$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.02	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over	10c	864.12$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.17	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	6c	856.68$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.34	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over	7c	823.56$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.06	268	41.8%112 W · 156 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over	13c	781.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	652	53.8%351 W · 301 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b3…3783backed Over	2c	704.87$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Over	3c	643.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.27	65	21.5%14 W · 51 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90e4…a408backed Over	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Over	2c	607.05$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.7	245	41.2%101 W · 144 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Over	14c	525.79$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.27	141	34.8%49 W · 92 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	9c	515.23$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.19	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe981…1859backed Over	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	109	18.3%20 W · 89 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x817a…7f1cbacked Over	4c	499.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	62	32.3%20 W · 42 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	7c	498.15$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.02	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7932…bb2fbacked Over	10c	475.5$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.55	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed6…6a8dbacked Over	10c	435.8$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.58	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	21cpaid	+55%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5e…2ea3backed Over	7c	419$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.33	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.13per pick	7cpaid	+185.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Over	9c	377$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.93	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8984…affabacked Over	9c	355.56$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78f3…6517backed Over	10c	350$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-3.5wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-73.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Over	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	156	45.5%71 W · 85 L	+9.3wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+10%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb908…ad11backed Over	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over	9c	290.31$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.13	298	13.8%41 W · 257 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa294…52eabacked Over	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Over	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	409	12%49 W · 360 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc9…01e1backed Over	6c	240.39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	110	20%22 W · 88 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc82e…0d6abacked Over	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-4.0wins	-0.10per pick	17cpaid	-84.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2c0…f73abacked Over	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	114	37.7%43 W · 71 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c66…afb9backed Over	10c	198.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.74	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6685…53cebacked Over	6c	172.41$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bac…5e79backed Over	8c	156.18$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.07	118	34.7%41 W · 77 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over	10c	134.61$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.46	732	34.6%253 W · 479 L	-22.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x431e…acdcbacked Over	10c	129.7$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.97	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0d…1ccebacked Over	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	9c	110.62$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d59…3210backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…64fbbacked Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	76	11.8%9 W · 67 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b06…4b87backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	87	40.2%35 W · 52 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb05…df23backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b3…a959backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe66…853ebacked Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x093a…e580backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5this page
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)England won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)England won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)England won
Spread: England (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-3.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-4.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-5.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event