TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x093a…e580

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: WNBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$22.02
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 24 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+49.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Nordsjælland vs. GAIS: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.